New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction NCAAF 10/11

New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction NCAAF 10/11

© Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports


Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State: College Football Preview

In a matchup that promises excitement, the struggling Sam Houston Bearkats (0-5) face off against the New Mexico State Aggies (3-3) in a college football showdown. Sam Houston is coming off a tough 21-16 road loss to Liberty, while New Mexico State secured a convincing 34-17 home win over Florida International.


Key Matchup Analysis

Sam Houston's Offensive Struggles

The Bearkats have had a brutal season offensively, averaging just 10.8 points per game and 241 total yards (174.2 passing, 66.8 rushing) per game. Senior quarterback Keegan Shoemaker has faced challenges, throwing for 731 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions.

To improve, the Bearkats need their running game to complement the passing attack. It's essential for them to find a balance to create scoring opportunities.

Sam Houston's Defense

Defensively, Sam Houston has allowed an average of 24.2 points and 378.8 total yards per game (193 passing, 185.8 rushing). While they have recorded five sacks and some turnovers, there's room for improvement.

Senior defensive lineman has shown promise with 10 total tackles and a pair of sacks, but the overall defensive unit needs to step up to secure victories.


New Mexico State's Balanced Offense

New Mexico State boasts a balanced offense, scoring an average of 30.5 points on 438.3 total yards (238 passing, 200.3 rushing) per game. Junior quarterback Diego Pavia has been a dual threat, passing for 1,329 yards and 12 touchdowns while rushing for 314 yards.

While Pavia has been outstanding, the Aggies need other playmakers to step up to strengthen their offensive attack.

New Mexico State's Defense

Defensively, New Mexico State has allowed an average of 24.8 points and 390.7 total yards per game (254.3 passing, 136.3 rushing). They've applied pressure with 15 total sacks but have room for improvement in creating turnovers.

Senior defensive lineman Izaiah Reed has been a standout with 2.5 sacks, but the Aggies will aim to increase their interception and turnover numbers.



In this matchup, New Mexico State holds the advantage in various aspects of the game. They have a more balanced offense led by Diego Pavia, while Sam Houston has struggled to find consistency.

Considering the -3.5 points spread, New Mexico State appears to be the better team overall. Their offense has the potential to exploit Sam Houston's defensive vulnerabilities, and their defense, led by a promising pass rush, can make it challenging for the Bearkats to score.

With these factors in mind, the prediction is that New Mexico State will not only win but also cover the -3.5 points spread. Expect a confident performance from the Aggies as they aim to secure the victory.


Pick: New Mexico State -3.5

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