Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 25 (7/25): MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 25 (7/25): MLB

Credit: photo by Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +153
Rockies run line +1.5 (-130)
Brewers money line -185
Brewers run line -1.5 (+110)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Colorado Rockies Milwaukee Brewers
Record 43-53 53-43
Road / home record 15-30 24-19
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak L4 W3
Over / under record 47-43-6 48-43-5
Runs / game 4.59 4.48
Runs allowed / game 5.26 4.22

 

Preview

The Colorado Rockies and the Milwaukee Brewers will play the 4th game of the series at the American Family Field on Monday night. The Brewers took the win 10-9 on Sunday's game and have the lead 3-0 in the series.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies get here with a 43-53 record and have lost their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.59 runs per game and they're batting for .262 AVG, have 427 runs scored in 837 hits and 85 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. CJ Cron is leading the team with 21 home runs and 69 RBI and a batting average of .297.

Defensively they are allowing 5.26 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. German Marquez leads the pitching staff with a 5.47 ERA, 85 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded for the Rockies.

Probable Pitcher:

Kyle Freeland (4-7, 4.49 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rockies in the 4th game of the series. In four innings against the Padres on Thursday, Freeland gave up five earned runs on six hits, three walks, and three strikeouts. He did not factor in the decision. He has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 3.50 and 16 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Brewers in his career.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 53-43 record and have won their last 3 games. They're averaging 4.48 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 417 runs scored in 730 hits and 124 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Willy Adames leads the team with 19 home runs and 51 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .227 AVG and has 57 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.22 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 2.14 ERA, 144 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Aaron Ashby (2-7, 4.57 ERA)

Ashby will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Brewers. Ashby signed a five-year, $20.5 million contract with Milwaukee on Saturday that includes incentives and club options for 2028 and 2029. He has had some high points and some struggles this season, but he is well rested after the break and is scheduled to start Monday at home against the Rockies. He hasn't pitched against the rockies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road.

Colorado Rockies are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games against Colorado.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

Prediction

This series has been all about offense and looks like it will continue to be that way as Kyle Freeland has been pounded lately, allowing 15 runs in his last 16 innings pitched. The Brewers will look for the sweep by sending the electric southpaw Aaron Ashby who has been up and this season but has allowed no more than 2 runs in his last 3 starts. Expect a good performance from him while the Brewers offense shouldn't have any issues to score against Freeland. Brewers will win and cover the run line.

PICK: Brewers -1.5 (+110)

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