Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 5 (7/5): MLB

Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 5 (7/5): MLB

Credit: photo by Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Royals money line +195
Royals run line +1.5 (-105)
Astros money line -240
Astros run line -1.5 (-115)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Kansas City Royals  Houston Astros
Record 29-49 52-27
Home / home record 15-24 25-11
Last 10 record 4-6 9-1
Streak W2 W7
Over / under record 38-36-4 27-47-5
Runs / game 3.84 4.40
Runs allowed / game 5.13 3.24

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Kansas City Royals will play the 2nd game of the series at the Minute Maid Park on Tuesday night. The Astros took the win 7-6 on Monday game to take the lead on the series. The Astros cameback from losing 3-6 and tied the game in the 8th inning, then Yordan Alvarez homered in the 9th to win the game.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals get to this game with a 29-49 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.8 runs per game. They're batting for .239 AVG, 296 runs scored in 620 hits and 63 home runs, ranking #27 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Andrew Benitendi is batting for a .308 AVG. and 29 RBI while Salvador Perez has 11 home runs and 34 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.1 runs per game and ranking #25 in the league. Daniel Lynch leads the team with a 4.95 ERA, 65 strikeouts and 3 wins recorded for the Royals.

Probable Pitcher: Zack Greinke (2-4, 4.38 ERA)

Greinke will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Royals. Greinke earned the win against the Rangers on Wednesday by allowing one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out three. He has a 6-3 record with an ERA of 2.59 and 63 strikeouts in 11 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 52-27 record and have won 7 games in a row. They're averaging 4.4 runs and batting for .235 AVG, 337 runs scored in 592 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .317 avg with 24 home runs and 57 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.2 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 2.03 ERA, 90 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:  Luis Garcia (6-5, 3.54 ERA)

Garcia will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Astros. Garcia earned the win against the Yankees on Thursday, allowing one earned run on three hits and two walks while striking out six. In his last 3 starts against the Royals he has a 2.47 ERA and 12 strikeouts across 18.2 innings pitched.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games on the road.

Kansas City Royals are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games against Kansas City.

Houston Astros are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Prediction

The Astros continue on a hot streak and have won 9 of their last 10 games. The offense is on fire and are averaging 5 runs per game in the last 10 games. They'll send Luis Garcia to the mound who just dominated the best offense in the league, the Yankees. Garcia has been very effective against the Royals in his career as well. The Royals will send the former Astro Zack Greinke who had 2 last sharp starts but has been up and down this season. The Astros are on fire right now and should win this game without a problem. Take the Astros.

PICK: Astros -1.5 (-115)

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