San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 20 (8/20): MLB

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 20 (8/20): MLB

Credit: photo by  Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:40 p.m. EST
Nationals money line +250
Nationals run line +1.5 (+120)
Padres money line -310
Padres run line -1.5 (-140)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Washington Nationals San Diego Padres
Record 41-80 66-56
Road / home record 22-36 33-26
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 60-54-7 56-61-4
Runs / game 3.80 4.43
Runs allowed / game 5.57 4.08

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the San Diego Padres will play the 3rd game of the series at the Petco Park on Saturday night. The Nationals upset the Padres again 6-3 in the second game of the series. Victor Robles scored the go-ahead run on Josh Hader's wild two-base throwing error and rookie Alex Call followed with his first career home run, a two-run shot.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 41-80 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.80 runs per game. They're batting for .248 AVG, 429 runs scored in 933 hits and 92 home runs, ranking #27 in offense in the league, behind the Miami Marlins. Luke Voit has a batting average of .235, 14 home runs and 50 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 5.57 runs per game and ranking #30, the worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 4.81 ERA, 127 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:

Josiah Gray (7-8, 4.79 ERA) will be on the mound for the Nationals in the 3rd game of the series. Gray did not factor into the decision Monday, allowing three runs on five hits and two walks over six innings in a 5-4 win over the Cubs. He struck out 10. He hasn't pitched against the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 66-56 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.43 runs per game and they're batting for .242 AVG, have 505 runs scored in 928 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #15 in offense in the league behind the Houston Astros. Manny Machado is leading the team with 20 home runs and 65 RBI and a batting average of .294.

Defensively they are allowing 4.08 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.91 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Joe Musgrove (8-6, 2.98 ERA)

Musgrove will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Padres. Musgrove gave up three runs on eight hits over six innings Monday, striking out five and taking a loss against the Marlins. He has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 6.86 and 19 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Nationals in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego.

San Diego Padres are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 12 games against Washington.

Prediction

The Nationals beat the Padres again in the second game of the series but I'd be shocked if that happens one more time as the Padres will sent their best pitcher Joe Musgrove to the mound who hasn't been that great lately but he's still one of the best pitchers in the league. Josiah Gray will start for the Nats who has struggled all season so expect the Padres to get him early in the game. Take the Padres.

PICK: Padres -1.5 (-140)

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