New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 6 (8/6): MLB

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 6 (8/6): MLB

Credit: photo by  Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:10 p.m. EST
Braves money line +100
Braves run line +1.5 (-185)
Mets money line -120
Mets run line -1.5 (+160)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  New York Mets
Record 64-43 67-39
Road / home record 27-21 32-18
Last 10 record 6-4 8-2
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 54-49-4 55-45-6
Runs / game 4.80 4.69
Runs allowed / game 3.91 3.74

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves will play the 3rd game of the series at the Citi Field on Saturday. The Braves took the win 9-6 on Friday's game and tied the series 1-1. Acuña matched his career high with four hits and robbed Pete Alonso of a two-run homer.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 64-43 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .249 AVG, 500 runs scored in 888 hits and 161 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Austin Riley is leading the team with 29 home runs and 68 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.91 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.58 ERA, 122 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 3.75 ERA)

Jake Odorizzi will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Atlanta. Odorizzi, whom Atlanta acquired from the Astros on Monday, will make his team debut Saturday as a starter in one of the doubleheader games versus the Mets. He has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 3.18 and 9 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Mets in his career.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 67-39 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.69 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 483 runs scored in 897 hits and 104 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league tied with the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .302 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 28 home runs and 88 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.74 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, 121 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  David Peterson (5-2, 3.54 ERA)

Peterson will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mets. Mets manager Buck Showalter said Peterson will be called up from Triple-A Syracuse to start one game of Saturday's doubleheader with Atlanta at Citi Field. He has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 5.40 and 40 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Braves in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

Atlanta Braves are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 9 games against Atlanta.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games at home.

Prediction

The Braves offense exploded in the second game of the series scoring 9 runs to beat the Mets while allowing 6 runs. For this game they'll send Jake Odorizzi to the mound who will make his debut with the team. In his last start with the Astros he threw 7 scoreless innings against the Mariners. David Peterson will start for the Mets who struggled against the Braves earlier this season allowing 4 runs in 5 innings. The Braves have the advantage on the mound and with the offense on fire right now I think they win this game.

PICK: Braves ML (+100)

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