Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 19 (9/19): MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 19 (9/19): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:40 p.m. EST
Brewers money line -110
Brewers run line -1.5 (+160)
Mets money line -110
Mets run line +1.5 (-185)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Milwaukee Brewers  New York Mets
Record 78-68 93-55
Home  / road record 41-28 43-29
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak L1 W4
Over / under record 72-67-7 75-66-7
Runs / game 4.52 4.69
Runs allowed / game 4.32 3.71

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers wil meet again to play a 3-game series at the American Family Field. The Mets swept the Pirates in their weekend series and the Brewers beat the Yankees 2 of 3 times but lost their last series against the Mets this season.

 

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 78-68 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 656 runs scored in 1138 hits and 199 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rowdy Tellez leads the team with 31 home runs and 83 RBI while Christian Yelich is batting for a .264 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.32 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 2.97 ERA, 219 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Corbin Burnes (10-7, 2.97 ERA)

Burnes will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Brewers. Burnes took the loss against St. Louis on Wednesday, allowing three runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out five batters over seven innings. He has a 2-0 record with an ERA of 1.71 and 26 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Mets in his career.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 93-55 record and have won their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.69 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 688 runs scored in 1279 hits and 152 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Jeff McNeil is batting for .322 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 35 home runs and 115 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.71 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.32 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Max Scherzer (9-4, 2.26 ERA)

Scherzer will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. Scherzer made a rehab start at Triple-A Syracuse on Wednesday and allowed a run on three hits and a walk while striking out seven in 3.2 innings. He apparently felt good afterward since manager Buck Showalter confirmed Saturday that Scherzer will return following a minimal stay on the 15-day IL. He is 2-3 with an ERA of 2.37 and 77 strikeouts in 10 appearances against the Brewers in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

NY Mets are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets' last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games against NY Mets.

Milwaukee are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.

Milwaukee are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Mets.

 

Prediction

The Brewers have been playing great at home as they just beat the Yankees 2 of 3 times and have won the last 9 games at home vs Mets. Corbin Burnes will start for the Brewers who has been up and down this season but has dominated the Mets in his career. The Mets will activate Max Scherzer from the injury list who has been pretty solid this season and has a 2.37 ERA vs Brewers. Expect a close game as both pitchers should be dominant on the mound. Take the under.

PICK: Under 7 (-110) 

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