Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 5 (7/5): MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 5 (7/5): MLB

Credit: photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Cubs money line +120
Cubs run line +1.5 (-165)
Brewers money line -143
Brewers run line -1.5 (+140)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Chicago Cubs  Milwaukee Brewers
Record 32-48 47-35
Road / home record 15-21 20-15
Last 10 record 6-4 7-3
Streak L2 W2
Over / under record 39-38-3 41-36-5
Runs / game 4.39 4.62
Runs allowed / game 5.22 4.16

 

Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs will play the 2nd game of the series at the American Family Field on Tuesday night. The Brewers took the win 5-2 on Monday game to take the lead on the series. Caratini hit a three-run homer off Scott Effross with two outs in the 10th inning to give the Milwaukee Brewers the victory.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs get here with a 32-48 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.39 runs per game. They're batting for .249 AVG, 347 runs scored in 671 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #16 in offense in the league behind the Houston Astros. Patrick Wisdom is leading the team with 17 home runs and 45 RBI while Wilson Contreras has the better batting average with .280.

Defensively they are allowing 5.2 runs per game and rank #27 in the league. Keegan Thompson leads the pitching staff with a 3.41 ERA, 66 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Cubs.

Probable Pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (4-6, 4.76 ERA)

Hendricks will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Cubs. On Thursday, Hendricks (4-6) earned the victory over Cincinnati, pitching six innings and allowing two runs on six hits and one walk while striking out seven. He has a record of 10-8 with an ERA of 3.54 and 154 strikeouts in 30 appearances versus the Brewers in his career.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 47-35 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 4.6 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 374 runs scored in 643 hits and 113 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Willy Adames leads the team with 16 home runs and 45 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .250 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes allowed 1 run across 6 innings pitched recording the win against the Cubs. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.36 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Jason Alexander (2-0, 3.82 ERA)

Alexander will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Brewers. Alexander pitched out of the Milwaukee bullpen in his last two appearances, but he'll be back into the rotation this week with the team in need of a fifth starter after Adrian Houser (elbow) was placed on the 15-day injured list on Friday. He allowed 2 runs ans struck out 3 across 7 innings pitched in his last start against the Cubs.

BETTING TRENDS

Chicago Cubs are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games on the road.

Chicago Cubs are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 15 games against Chi Cubs.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home.

Prediction

The Cubs kept the first game of the series close and lost it in extra innings. They'll now send Kyle Hendricks to the mound who has decent numbers against the Brewers in his career and the Cubs beat them the last time he started a game against them. The Brewers have won 7 of their last 10 games but the offense hasn't been constant. Jason Alexander is back in the rotation and he pitched 7 innings the last time he faced the Cubs allowing 3 runs but 2 earned. With both offenses struggling I think the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 9 (-110)

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