Michigan Wolverines vs  Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 15 (10/15) NCAAF

Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 15 (10/15) NCAAF

 

Odds

Time 12:00 p.m. EST
Penn State money line +220
Penn State spread +7 (-110)
Michigan money line -270
Michigan spread -7 (-110)
Over / under 50.5

 

2022 season stats

  Penn State Nittany Lions Michigan Wolverines
Record 5-0 6-0
Road / home record 2-0 4-0
O/U 3-2 0-5-1
Points per game 34.4 43.0
Points allowed per game 14.8 11.3
Pass yards per game 251.0 246.3
Rush yards per game 192.6 212.3
Total yards per game 443.6 458.7
Total yards allowed per game 341.8 247.0

Preview

The Michigan Wolverines will host the Penn State Nittany Lions at the Mountaineer Field at the Michigan Stadium on Saturday. These are two of the hottest teams in the Big Ten Conference and they met last season where the Wolverines took the win 21-17 on the road covering the spread as -2.5 points favorites.

 

Penn State Nittany Lions

The Nittany Lions get here with a 5-0 record after beating the Northwestern Wildcats 17-7 at home. Sean Clifford has thrown for 1030 yards in 85 of 137 passes completed with 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Corum has rushed for 500 yards, averaging nearly 6 yards per carry, and four touchdowns in three Big Ten games. He leads the FBS with 735 yards rushing, including a 19-yard run in every game, and is second with 11 touchdowns.

Defensively, they're doing a great job allowing only 14.8 points per game, 262 passing yards and 79 rushing yards. They held Northwestern to only 1 touchdown in the entire game .  

 

Michigan Wolverines

The Wolverines are 6-0 so far this season after beating the Indiana Hoosiers on the road 31-10 last Saturday. Ronnie Bell had 11 receptions for 121 yards while Schoonmaker caught nine passes for 67 yards. Blake Corum rushed for 124 yards on 25 carries, picking up 50 on his first run of the day. Corum also had a 1-yard TD run, his 11th of the season. The offense didn't look great and will have to play better against a tough defense like Penn St.

Defensively, the team is allowing a only 11.33 points per game ranking 4th in the nation. The defense has been constant so far on both sides as they're allowing 165 passing yards and 81.7 rushing yards.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Penn State are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

Penn State are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Michigan.

Penn State are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games against Michigan.

Penn State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

Michigan are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan's last 7 games.

Michigan are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.

Michigan are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games at home.

 

Prediction

These are two explosive offenses but also very solid defenses and one of these teams will meet the defeat for the first time in the season. The total has been set in 50.5 pts and I think the play is the under. Penn St struggled offensively in their last game vs Northwestern as they scored only 17 points. The Wolverines scored 31 points in their last game but wasn't their best offensive performance so far. With two of the toughest defenses in the country I think the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 50.5 (-110)

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