Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 5 (10/5): MLB

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 5 (10/5): MLB

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +153
Phillies run line +1.5 (-140)
Astros money line -185
Astros run line -1.5 (+120)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Houston Astros
Record 87-74 105-56
Road / home record 40-40 54-26
Last 10 record 4-6 5-5
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 81-74-6 60-90-11
Runs / game 4.67 4.52
Runs allowed / game 3.74 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 3rd game of the series and the final of the regular season at the Minute Maid Park on Wednesday. The Astros bounced back and destroyed the Phillies 10-0 in the second game of the series. 

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 87-74 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.67 runs per game. They're batting for .255 AVG, 745 runs scored in 1385 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Bailey Falter (6-4, 3.90 ERA)

Falter will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Phillies. Falter gave up six earned runs on 10 hits and no walks while striking out six over 3.2 innings in a 6-3 loss to Atlanta on Saturday. He hasn't pitched against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 105-56 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 724 runs scored in 1312 hits and 210 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 96 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.80 ERA, 175 strikeouts and 17 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Framber Valdez (16-6, 2.84 ERA)

Valdez will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Astros. Valdez gave up six earned runs on nine hits and three walks while striking out two over 5.1 innings to take the loss in a 7-3 defeat against the Rays on Friday.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing on the road against Houston.

Houston are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Philadelphia.

 

Prediction

The Astros offense exploded in the second game of the series scoring 10 runs while allowing none. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros who has been up and down this season and was pounded in his last start. Bryan Falter will start for the Phillies who's coming from his best start of the season pitching 6 scoreless innings vs Nationals. The Phillies will rest some players as they need to play the wild card series while the Astros will have time to rest so go with the Astros to win this game.

PICK: Astros -1.5 (+120)

Upgrade to View Prediction

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MLB experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MLB picks, sports picks and sports betting.

MLB expert picks, Expert mlb picks, MLB expert picks today, Expert mlb picks today, Top mlb picks for today, Expert mlb picks free, MLB expert picks against the spread.

Winnings $84,090
last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1285 - 1108 - 96
Winnings % 51%
Winnings $78,930
last 30 days winnings $930
Yesterday winnings ($1,500)
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 613 - 397 - 11
Winnings % 59%
Winnings $56,127
last 30 days winnings $2,190
Yesterday winnings $1,650
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 342 - 226 - 8
Winnings % 58%