Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 21 (7/21): MLB

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 21 (7/21): MLB

Credit: photo by Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:10 p.m. EST
Yankees money line +100
Yankees run line +1.5 (-189)
Astros money line -125
Astros run line -1.5 (+155)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Houston Astros
Record 64-28 59-32
Road / home record 27-16 28-14
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak W2 L1
Over / under record 44-45-3 31-54-5
Runs / game 5.40 4.43
Runs allowed / game 3.24 3.35

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the New York Yankees will meet again to play a double-header game at the Minute Maid Park on Thursday. The Yankees won their last series against the Red Sox while the Astros lost vs the Oakland Athletics and are 3-2 against the Yankees this season.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 62-28 record and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 5.40 runs per game. They're batting for .246 AVG, 497 runs scored in 756 hits and 157 home runs, ranking #1 in offense in the league. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .284 with 33 home runs and 70 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.24 runs per game and rank #1 in the league. All-Star Nestor Cortes leads the pitching staff with a 2.63 ERA, 99 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 3.26 ERA)

Montgomery will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for New York. Montgomery did not factor into the Red Sox's 5-4 extra-innings loss on Friday, allowing three runs on six hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out four batters. He has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 4.91 and 15 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 53-28 record and have won 8 od their last 9 games. They're averaging 4.43 runs and batting for .239 AVG, 403 runs scored in 721 hits and 128 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Minnesota Twins. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .306 avg with 26 home runs and 60 RBI. Kyle Tucker is leading in RBI's with 62.

Defensively they are allowing 3.35 runs per game and ranking #3 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.89 ERA, 108 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:  Cristian Javier (6-5, 3.22 ERA)

Javier will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Astros. In 3.2 innings against the Angels, Javier took the loss after allowing three runs on five hits, three walks, and 10 strikeouts. He has a record of 1-0 with an ERA of 0.00 and 18 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Yankees in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston.

NY Yankees are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games against an opponent in the American League.

Houston Astros are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games at home.

Prediction

These are the top 2 candidates to make it to the American League Finals and the last head to head games this season have been very close. The Yankees will send Jordan Montgomery to the mound for Game 1 who has struggled lately as the Yanks have lost in his last 3 starts but hasn't pitched vs Astros this season. Cristian Javier will start for the Astros who also struggled in his last 2 starts but dominated the Yankees earlier this season holding them to zero runs across 7 innings. Stanton, Donaldson and Higashioka won't play the first game while Yordan Alvarez is probably playing in game 2. I think this will be a low scoring game as both starters should dominate on the mound. Take the under.

PICK: Under 8 (-110)

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