Grambling vs. Texas Southern: Prediction 3/11

The Grambling Tigers and Texas Southern Tigers will square off in the SWAC Championship on Saturday evening. Both teams will be vying for an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. In this article, we'll take a closer look at both teams and provide our expert analysis and betting pick for the game.

Grambling Tigers

The Grambling Tigers have had a fantastic season, finishing with a 24-8 record and a 15-3 mark in SWAC play. They are led by Cameron Christon, who is averaging 13.0 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. The Tigers are also strong defensively, holding opponents to just 58.1 points per game over their last 10 contests. However, Grambling has struggled in games decided by three points or fewer, with just a 1-3 record in such contests.

Texas Southern Tigers

The Texas Southern Tigers come into this game with a 13-20 record, but they've been playing much better lately, winning six of their last 10 games. PJ Henry is their leading scorer, averaging 12.6 points per game, and John Walker III is also a key contributor, averaging 11.7 points over his last 10 games. Defensively, Texas Southern has struggled, allowing 72.0 points per game in conference play.

Betting Trends:

Grambling has been dominant in conference play this season, going 15-3 straight up and 11-7 against the spread. They've also been solid on the road, going 9-5 ATS in non-conference games. Texas Southern, on the other hand, has struggled against the spread, going just 8-16 overall and 4-8 at home. The over/under for this game is set at 132 points.

Public Betting Data:

According to the latest public betting data, 62% of the bets are coming in on Grambling to cover the spread. However, 52% of the money is coming in on Texas Southern to cover, indicating that sharp bettors are siding with the underdog in this matchup.

Prediction:

Both of these teams have had their moments this season, but Grambling is the more complete team and should come out on top in this game. Their defense has been excellent over the past few weeks, and they have enough scoring to get the job done. We're taking Grambling to cover the 6.5-point spread and win the SWAC Championship.

Pick: Grambling -6.5