Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 27 (10/27): NBA

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 27 (10/27): NBA

 

Odds

Time 10:00 p.m. EST
Heat money line +200
Heat spread +6.5 (-110)
Warriors money line -240
Warriors spread -6.5 (-110)
Over / under 227

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Miami Heat Golden State Warriors
Record 2-3 2-2
Home / road record 1-0 2-1
Streak W1 L1
Points per game 106.60 120.25
Points allowed per game 106.33 124.00
Rebounds per game 43.60 40.00
Rebounds allowed per game 43.20 46.75
Over / under record 2-3 4-0
 

Preview

The Miami Heat continue on the road and will travel to San Francisco to take on the defending champions the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center on Thursday night. These teams met twice last season and Warriors won both games, home and away.  

 

Miami Heat

The Heat got their second win of the season after beating the Blazers 119-98 on the road. They have a 2-3 record overall and 1-0 on the road ranking 3rd in the Southeast Division. In their last game,  Bam Adebayo scored 18 points. Kyle Lowry and Jimmy Butler each had 17 points for the Heat, who led by as many as 26 points. Six Miami players were in double figures.

Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.8 points and shooting 48.6% FG. Bam Adebayo leads the team in rebounds with 8.4 per game while Kyle Lowry is leading with 4.8 assists for the Heat.

In the last 10 games, the Heat are 4-6, averaging 101.1 points, 41.5 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 3 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 103.4 points per game. 

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors get here with a 2-2 record and are 2-1 at home so far this season ranking 2nd in the Pacific Division. They lost their last game against the Suns 134-105 on the road. Steph Curry led the Warriors with 21 points. Jordan Poole scored 17 off the bench. Green added 14 points, eight rebounds and five assists.

Stephen Curry is averaging 30.3 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.3 assists for the Warriors. Draymond Green leads the team in assists with 5.8 per game while Andrew Wiggings in grabbing 6.3 rebpunds per game for Golden State.

In their last 10 games the Warriors are 6-4, averaging 111 points, 46.4 rebounds, 25.9 assists, 6.4 steals and 3.9 blocks per game while shooting 47.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 110.1 points.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against Golden State.

Miami are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games against Golden State.

Miami are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

Miami are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games.

Golden State are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games against Miami.

Golden State are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Warriors offense is on fire averaging 120 points per game but they have been struggling defensively which is weird as they were one of the top defenses in the league last season. On the other hand, the Heat have been focused in playing good defense and have allowed only 106 points per game so far but have struggled offensively. The Warriors were dominated by a tough defense like the Suns so I expect them to struggle against the Heat as well. 

PICK: Heat +6.5 (-110)

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