Duke vs NC State NCAAB Prediction 2/28/23

Odds

2022-2023 season stats

Preview

On February 28th, 2023, the NC State Wolfpack will take on the Duke Blue Devils in a highly anticipated matchup. The game will take place at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and it promises to be a thrilling encounter.

Both teams are members of the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) and have had solid seasons so far. Duke currently holds a 21-8 record overall, with a 12-6 record in conference play, while NC State boasts a 22-8 overall record, with a 12-7 record in conference play. Duke enters the game as the favorites, with a 7.5-point spread.

NC State Wolfpack

The NC State Wolfpack have had a solid season so far, with a 22-8 record overall and a 12-7 record in conference play. They have been led by the impressive play of senior guard T. Smith, who is averaging a team-high 17.6 points per game and 4.4 assists per game. Smith has been one of the most efficient players in the conference, shooting 46.3% from the field and 40.2% from beyond the arc.

Alongside Smith, NC State has several other talented guards who can score from anywhere on the court. Junior guard C. Dunn is averaging 12.9 points per game, while sophomore guard C. Hayes is averaging 10.6 points per game. Additionally, NC State has received solid contributions from their frontcourt players, including freshman forward K. Stone, who is averaging 8.6 points per game and 4.3 rebounds per game.

Offensively, NC State has been one of the most efficient teams in the conference, averaging 78.7 points per game, which ranks second in the ACC. They have also shot the ball at an impressive 45.3% clip from the field, which is the third-best in the conference. However, one area where NC State has struggled this season is on the defensive end. They are allowing 70.3 points per game, which ranks ninth in the conference. Additionally, they are allowing their opponents to shoot 42.3% from the field, which is the fourth-worst in the conference.

Duke Blue Devils

The Duke Blue Devils have also had a solid season so far, with a 21-8 record overall and a 12-6 record in conference play. They have been led by the impressive play of freshman center K. Filipowski, who is averaging 14.9 points per game and 8.9 rebounds per game. Filipowski has been one of the most efficient players in the conference, shooting 43.3% from the field and 77.1% from the free-throw line.

Alongside Filipowski, Duke has several other talented offensive players, including senior guard J. Roach, who is averaging 13.6 points per game, and freshman forward M. Baldwin, who is averaging 11.4 points per game. Defensively, Duke has been one of the best teams in the conference, allowing just 63.9 points per game, which ranks second in the ACC. They have also been dominant on the glass, averaging 39.1 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the conference.

Overall, Duke has been a balanced team this season, with solid contributions from their guards and frontcourt players. Their defensive performance has been particularly impressive, and they have the ability to shut down opposing offenses. However, their offensive performance has been inconsistent at times, and they have struggled to score against strong defensive teams. If they can find a way to replicate their defensive performance against NC State, they could potentially win the game comfortably.

BETTING TRENDS

North Carolina State are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games.

North Carolina State are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Duke.

North Carolina State are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games against Duke.

North Carolina State are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of North Carolina State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Duke.

Duke are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games.

Duke are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Duke's last 11 games against North Carolina State.

Duke are 15-0 SU in their last 15 games at home.

Prediction

the Wolfpack have proven to be a potent offensive team this season, and they have several talented guards who can score from anywhere on the court. Their ability to shoot the ball at an impressive clip could cause Duke problems on the defensive end, particularly if they are unable to contain T. Smith.

Additionally, Duke has struggled at times this season against strong offensive teams. In their loss to the Virginia Cavaliers on February 11th, they allowed 69 points in regulation, including 27 points in the second half. Similarly, in their loss to the Miami Hurricanes on February 16th, they allowed 71 points, including 45 points in the second half. If NC State can replicate this offensive performance, they could cause Duke problems.

While Duke's defensive performance has been impressive this season, they have shown vulnerabilities at times, particularly against strong offensive teams. If NC State can take advantage of these vulnerabilities, they could keep the game close and potentially cover the spread.

In conclusion, while Duke is the favorite to win the game, we believe that NC State has the potential to cause an upset and cover the +7.5 points spread. With their impressive offensive performance this season, they have the ability to keep the game close, particularly if they can shoot the ball at an efficient rate. However, they will need to improve their defensive performance if they hope to beat Duke, who have several talented offensive players. Overall, it promises to be a thrilling encounter, and we can't wait to see how it unfolds on the court.

PICK: NC State +7.5 (-110)

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