Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, Jun 24 (6/24): NHL

Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Pick and Preview, Jun 24 (6/24): NHL

Credit: photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:00 p.m. EST
Lightning money line +155
Lightning spread +1.5 (-170)
Avalanche money line -180
Avalanche spread -1.5 (+145)
Over / under 6
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Colorado Avalanche
Record 64-39 71-29
Road  / home record 29-23 39-11
Streak L1 W1
Goals per game 3.48 3.76
Goals allowed per game 2.78 2.83
Shots per game 30.9 35.0
Shots allowed per game 29.8 32.0
PP % 23.9% 24.00%
PK % 18.83% 20.88%
Over / under record 53-48-2 54-41-5

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Colorado Avalanche will meet again at the Ball Arena in Denver, CO to play the Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The Avs took the win 3-2 in overtime in Game 4 at Tampa to take the lead 3-1 on the series and are just 1 victory away from the Championship.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 29-23 on the road with a 64-39 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 23-10-3 against Western conference rivals. Tampa Bay have a +60 scoring differential, with 293 total goals scored and 233 given up.

Steven Stamkos has scored 43 goals with 65 assists for the Lightning. Corey Perry has 3 goals and 3 assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 5-5, averaging 2.7 goals, 5.5 assists, 4.8 penalties and 13.1 penalty minutes while giving up 3 goals per game.

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado have won 8 of their last 9 games and are 39-11 at home. They have 71-29 overall record ranking 1st in the Central Division. The Avalanche are 25-9-2 against Eastern conference rivals. Colorado averages 8.8 penalty minutes per game, the ninth-most in the Western Conference and have gone 59-4-4 when scoring three or more goals.

Mikko Rantanen has 36 goals and 56 assists for the Avalanche. Lehkonen has 4 goals and 5 assists over the last 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Avalanche are 8-2, averaging 4.5 goals, 6.3 assists, four penalties and 10.2 penalty minutes while giving up 3.1 goals per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Tampa Bay are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games.

Tampa Bay are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Colorado.

Colorado are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games against Tampa Bay.

Prediction

The Bolts couldn't finish the job in regular time in Game 4 at home and ended up losing the game now they'll have to face the Avs in Denver where they have lost only 11 games this season. With the win-win situation for the Lightning and the way the last 2 games have been I think we have to take the plus money.  

PICK: Lightning ML (+155)

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