Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 11 (8/11): MLB

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 11 (8/11): MLB

Credit: photo by Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line -135
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+145)
Orioles money line +113
Orioles run line +1.5 (-170)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox
Record 58-52 54-58
Home / road record 25-31 26-29
Last 10 record 7-3 4-6
Streak W2 L4
Over / under record 52-53-5 51-52-9
Runs / game 4.23 4.50
Runs allowed / game 4.13 4.24

 

Preview

The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox will play a make up game at the Fenway Park on Thursday. The Orioles won their last series against the Blue Jays while the Red Sox were swept by the Braves.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 58-52 record and have won 8 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 4.23 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 453 runs scored in 854 hits and 109 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Arizona Diamondbacks. Anthony Santander leads the team with 19 home runs, 59 RBI and batting for an average of .255.

Defensively they are allowing 4.13 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.35 ERA, 105 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Dean Kremer (4-3, 3.43 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles in the 1st game of the series. Kremer picked up the win Friday, scattering four hits over 6.1 scoreless innings in a 1-0 victory over the Pirates. He struck out two without walking a batter. He has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 11.74 and 5 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 54-58 record and have lost their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.50 runs per game. They're batting for .255 AVG, 468 runs scored in 905 hits and 100 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league, behind the Minnesota Twins. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 22 home runs and 55 RBI, batting for .324 AVG while Trevor Story leads in RBI's with 58. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.74 runs per game and rank #24 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 8 wins recorded with a 4.47 ERA and 114 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Josh Winckowski (5-5, 4.68 ERA) will be on the mound for the Red Sox in the 1st game of the series. Winckowski allowed a run on five hits and two walks while striking out four over five innings to earn the win over the Royals on Friday. He has allowed 4 runs on 6 hits with 3 walks and 4 strikeouts in 3 innings versus the Orioles in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road.

Baltimore are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games.

Boston Red Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games

Prediction

The Orioles continue to win games and playing great offense as they have scored 13 runs in their last 2 games. For this game they'll send Dean Kremer to the mound who has been up and down this season and have struggled against the Red Sox in his career. Boston continue to play good offense but they have been awful in defense. Josh Winckowski will take the mound who has been solid in his last 2 outings but allowed 4 runs in only 3 innings the last time he faced the Orioles. The Orioles are beating everybody but I don't trust Kremer so I think the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 9.5 (-110)

Upgrade to View Prediction

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MLB experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MLB picks, sports picks and sports betting.

MLB expert picks, Expert mlb picks, MLB expert picks today, Expert mlb picks today, Top mlb picks for today, Expert mlb picks free, MLB expert picks against the spread.

Winnings $84,090
last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1285 - 1108 - 96
Winnings % 51%
Winnings $80,430
last 30 days winnings $2,430
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 610 - 394 - 11
Winnings % 59%