Arizona State vs Nevada Prediction and Odds, 03/15

Arizona State vs Nevada Prediction and Odds, 03/15



Time 9:10 p.m. EST
Wolf Pack money line +115
Wolf Pack spread +2 (-110)
Sun Devils money line -145
Sun Devils spread -2 (-110)
Over / under 133.5


2022-2023 season stats

  Nevada Wolf Pack Arizona State Sun Devils
Record 22-10 22-12
Neutral site record 2-2 5-1
Streak L3 L1
Points per game 72.00 70.00
Points allowed per game 66.00 67.00
Rebounds per game 33.00 36.00
Rebounds allowed per game 33.00 35.00
Over / under record 18-13 17-17


The NCAA Men's Basketball Championship is set to begin, and the First Four matchup between the Nevada Wolf Pack and Arizona State Sun Devils is one of the most anticipated games of the tournament. Both teams will be vying for a spot in the West Region bracket, and a win in this game will give them momentum going forward.

In this article, we will provide an extended preview of both teams, their strengths and weaknesses, and make a final prediction of who we think will win.


Nevada Wolf Pack

The Nevada Wolf Pack enter the NCAA tournament with a respectable 22-10 record and a fourth-place finish in the Mountain West Conference. Despite being edged out by San Diego State, Utah State, and Boise State in the conference, the Wolf Pack earned an at-large bid to the tournament. The Wolf Pack will face the Arizona State Sun Devils in the West Region First Four matchup.

Leading the way for the Wolf Pack is junior guard Jalen Lucas. Lucas has been a force to reckon with this season, averaging an impressive 17.3 points per game, 3.7 rebounds per game, and 2.8 assists per game. He shoots an excellent 86.1% from the free-throw line and has been the go-to player for the Wolf Pack all season long. If Nevada hopes to win, they will need Lucas to have a big game against Arizona State.

Aside from Lucas, the Wolf Pack have several other players who have contributed significantly this season. Senior forward DeAndre Williams is another player to watch out for. Williams is averaging 7.3 rebounds per game, and his defensive prowess will be crucial in containing Arizona State's offense. Senior guard Kane Milling is another veteran presence who has stepped up when it matters most, shooting 44.1% from beyond the arc.

Despite their strong lineup, the Wolf Pack have struggled in recent games, losing three of their last five. In their most recent game against San Jose State, they lost in overtime, which would have been a confidence booster heading into the tournament. The Wolf Pack will need to find a way to put those losses behind them and play at their best level if they hope to make it out of the First Four.

Furthermore, the Wolf Pack have been inconsistent on the road this season, winning just seven of their 16 away games. This statistic is not promising for a team that will be playing away from their home crowd in Dayton, Ohio. However, they have shown that they can play at a high level, especially on defense. The Wolf Pack are holding opponents to an average of just 66.3 points per game, which ranks them 61st in the country.

If the Wolf Pack can continue their strong defensive play and get their offense firing on all cylinders, they have a chance to come out on top against the Sun Devils. However, the game is expected to be a close one, with the Wolf Pack entering as two-point underdogs according to the spread consensus.

In conclusion, the Nevada Wolf Pack have a formidable lineup led by Jalen Lucas and an impressive defense. Despite recent losses and inconsistent play on the road, they have a chance to make a statement against Arizona State in the First Four matchup. Look for the Wolf Pack to put up a strong fight, and they could very well cover the spread and make it out of Dayton with a win.


Arizona State Sun Devils

The Arizona State Sun Devils are a well-balanced team that boasts a 22-12 record and earned their spot in the NCAA tournament through an at-large bid. The Sun Devils finished fifth in the Pac-12 Conference and have been led by the impressive play of sophomore guard Demari Cambridge Jr. Cambridge Jr. averages 13.7 points per game and is a strong free-throw shooter with an 81.4% success rate.

The Sun Devils have been in good form lately, winning three of their last five games. Despite losing to Arizona in the Pac-12 Conference Tournament, the team will be eager to prove themselves in the NCAA tournament. The Sun Devils have been a formidable opponent at home, winning 13 of their 18 games at the Desert Financial Arena. With the tournament taking place on a neutral site, the Sun Devils will need to bring their A-game to defeat the tough Nevada team.

In addition to Cambridge Jr., the Sun Devils have a strong supporting cast, including forward William Washington. Washington averages 6.9 rebounds per game and provides a strong defensive presence in the paint. Guard Fynn Collins is another key player for the Sun Devils, averaging 4.4 assists per game and playing an important role in the team's offense.

The Sun Devils will look to use their strong offensive capabilities to their advantage in this game. Arizona State averages 74.3 points per game and shoots an impressive 46.2% from the field. The team's strong offensive play will be crucial against a tough Nevada team that has struggled defensively in recent games.

The Sun Devils will also look to take advantage of their strong home-court advantage in this game. The Desert Financial Arena has been a fortress for the Sun Devils this season, and they will be eager to use it to their benefit in this tournament game.



Nevada are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games.

Nevada are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

Nevada are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the Pac-12 conference.

Nevada are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games played in March.

Nevada are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played on a Wednesday.

Arizona State are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games.

Arizona State are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.

Arizona State are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games played in March.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona State's last 8 games played on a Wednesday.



This game is shaping up to be a grind-it-out, low-scoring affair, and we expect both teams to come out with a defensive mindset. Both the Wolf Pack and the Sun Devils have proven to be tough teams to score against, and we anticipate that trend to continue in this game.

Despite the defensive focus, we still expect a closely contested game. The Wolf Pack will be looking to bounce back after a rough stretch of games, and the Sun Devils will be looking to build upon their recent good form. While we predict a tight game, we believe that Nevada will cover the +2 points spread and come away with the victory.

With more experience in NCAA tournament games and a proven ability to win tough games on the road, the Wolf Pack have the edge in this matchup. However, we expect a defensive battle to the end and anticipate a low-scoring game, making the under the safer bet.


PICK: Under 133.5 (-110)


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