Alabama vs Auburn NCAAB Preview and Prediction 3/01/23

Alabama vs Auburn NCAAB Preview and Prediction 3/01/23

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Tigers money line +435
Tigers spread +9.5 (-110)
Crimson Tide money line +360
Crimson Tide spread -9.5 (-110)
Over / under 148.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Auburn Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide
Record 19-10 25-4
Road / home record 4-7 14-0
Streak L1 W3
Points per game 72.00 83.00
Points allowed per game 65.00 68.00
Rebounds per game 35.00 44.00
Rebounds allowed per game 32.00 34.00
Over / under record 16-13 14-14-1
 

Preview

The rivalry between Alabama and Auburn is one of the most intense in all of college basketball, and the upcoming game between the two teams is expected to be a highly contested matchup. The game is scheduled for March 1st, 2023, at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL.

Both teams are highly competitive, with Alabama boasting an impressive 25-4 overall record and 15-1 conference record, while Auburn has a solid 19-10 record overall and a 9-7 conference record. The game promises to be an exciting and highly contested matchup, with both teams fighting for conference superiority and bragging rights.

 

Auburn Tigers

The Auburn Tigers have had a decent season so far, with a 19-10 record overall and a 9-7 record in the conference. They have had some impressive wins this season, including a victory over then-ranked #2 Alabama earlier in the year. However, they have also had some disappointing losses, including a recent 86-54 defeat to Kentucky.

One of the key strengths of the Auburn Tigers is their ability to score points. They are averaging 72.1 points per game, which is solid but not exceptional. However, they have several players who can score in double digits, which makes them difficult to defend. Junior forward J. Broome is their leading scorer, averaging 14.1 points per game, and is shooting an impressive 61.5% from the field. Freshman guard W. Green Jr. is another player to watch, as he is averaging 12.1 points per game and 4.2 assists per game.

Defensively, the Tigers have been solid but not spectacular. They are allowing an average of 65.9 points per game, which is a respectable number, but they will need to step up their defense if they hope to compete with Alabama. Junior forward J. Broome is their leading rebounder, averaging 8.6 rebounds per game, and is also a strong defender with 1.6 blocks per game.

Auburn's recent loss to Kentucky exposed some of their weaknesses, including their inability to shoot the ball effectively from beyond the arc. They shot just 15.4% from three-point range in that game, which is well below their season average of 33.4%. If they are unable to find their shooting touch against Alabama, it could be a long night for the Tigers.

 

Alabama Crimson Tide

The Alabama Crimson Tide have been one of the most impressive teams in college basketball this season, with a record of 25-4 overall and 15-1 in the conference. They are currently ranked #2 in the SEC and have won their last three games in a row, including a hard-fought 86-83 victory over Arkansas.

One of the key strengths of the Alabama Crimson Tide is their ability to score points. They are averaging an impressive 83.3 points per game, which is one of the highest averages in all of college basketball. Senior forward B. Miller is their leading scorer, averaging 19.7 points per game, and is shooting an impressive 46.8% from the field. Junior guard J. Quinerly is another player to watch, as he is averaging 14.2 points per game and 3.6 assists per game.

Defensively, the Crimson Tide have also been very strong this season. They are allowing an average of just 69.1 points per game, which is one of the best defensive records in the SEC. Junior forward N. Clowney is their leading rebounder, averaging 8.2 rebounds per game, and is also a strong defender with 1.6 blocks per game.

One of the key strengths of the Alabama Crimson Tide is their depth. They have several players who can contribute on both ends of the court, which makes them difficult to defend. They also have a strong team chemistry, which has been a key factor in their success this season.

Alabama's recent victory over Arkansas showcased some of their weaknesses, including their tendency to turn the ball over. They had 19 turnovers in that game, which is well above their season average of 13.2. If they are unable to limit their turnovers against Auburn, it could give the Tigers an opportunity to capitalize on their mistakes.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Auburn are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games.

Auburn are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

Auburn are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Auburn's last 13 games when playing on the road against Alabama.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games.

Alabama are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games against Auburn.

Alabama are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Alabama's last 13 games when playing at home against Auburn.

 

Prediction

While Auburn has the potential to be a competitive team, they have been inconsistent throughout the season and have struggled against some of the tougher opponents in the SEC. Alabama, on the other hand, has been one of the most dominant teams in the conference this season and has been on a roll as of late.

One of the key factors in our prediction is Alabama's strong defense. They have one of the best defensive records in the SEC and have shown that they can shut down even the most potent offenses in the conference. Auburn's offense, while solid, is not as potent as some of the other teams in the SEC, and they may struggle against Alabama's tough defense.

Another factor is Alabama's depth and team chemistry. They have several players who can contribute on both ends of the court, and they have shown that they can work well together as a team. Auburn, on the other hand, has relied heavily on their top players to carry the load, which could make them easier to defend.

Overall, we believe that Alabama's strong defense, depth, and team chemistry will be the difference in this game. While Auburn may put up a good fight, we predict that Alabama will win by a margin of at least 10 points, covering the -9.5 point spread.

 

PICK: Alabama -9.5 (-110)

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