West Virginia Mountaineers vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 13 (10/13) NCAAF

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 13 (10/13) NCAAF

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Baylor money line -165
Baylor spread -3 (-105)
West Virginia money line +140
West Virginia spread +3 (-115)
Over / under 54

 

2022 season stats

  Baylor Bears West Virginia Mountaineers
Record 3-2 2-3
Road / home record 1-1 1-1
O/U 3-2 3-2
Points per game 37.4 38.2
Points allowed per game 20.6 29.3
Pass yards per game 248.0 268.3
Rush yards per game 187.0 186.3
Total yards per game 436.0 230.7
Total yards allowed per game 320.0 100.0

Preview

The West Virginia Mountaineers will host the Baylor Bears at the Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium on Thursday Night. These teams faced each other last season in Texas and the Bears outscored West Virginia 45-20 covering the spread as -1 pts favorites.

 

Baylor Bears

The Bears get here with a 3-2 record after losing against the Oklahoma St Cowboys 36-25 at home. Shapen completed 28 of 40 passes for 345 yards, with Baldwin catching seven for 174 yards. On 17 carries, Reese gained 85 yards and a touchdown. Six of his rushing touchdowns have come in Baylor's three home games. Richard Reese has scored seven touchdowns and is fourth among all freshmen nationally with 400 rushing yards.

Defensively, they're doing a great job allowing only 20.6 points per game, 223 passing yards and 96 rushing yards. They had their worst performance so far this season vs Cowboys as they allowed 36 points in the game.  

 

West Virginia Mountaineers

The Mountaineers are 2-3 so far this season after losing against the Texas Longhorns on the road 38-20 last Saturday. JT Daniels passed for 253 yards and Bryce Frod-Wheaton is fourth in the Big 12 with 82 receiving yards per game. He is averaging seven receptions, often making contested catches, and has four touchdown grabs overall but none over the past three games.

Defensively, the team is allowing a Big 12-worst 8.3 yards per pass attempt and has one interception this season, the lowest in the league..

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baylor's last 10 games.

Baylor are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.

Baylor are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against West Virginia.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baylor's last 9 games on the road.

West Virginia are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games at home.

West Virginia are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Baylor.

West Virginia are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

 

Prediction

These are two explosive offenses so expect plenty of on this game. The 2 losses for the Bears have been against 2 ranked teams and they kept the games close while the Mountaineers have lost vs Texas and Kansas. When you have 2 electric offenses you gotta focus on the defense and the Bears have the better defense here allowing less than 3 touchdowns per game so go with Baylor to win and cover the spread on the road.  

PICK: Baylor -3 (-105)

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