Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction Game 5 NBA West 5/30

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction Game 5 NBA West 5/30

© Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports


NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5 Preview and Prediction

Minneapolis, MN; May 30, 2024, 5:30 PM EST

Game Odds

Odds by ESPN BET

Time Spread Total Moneyline
5:30 PM MIN -4.5 (EVEN) o209.5 (-110) -195
- DAL +4.5 (EVEN) u209.5 (-110) +165


Game Overview

The Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) host the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) for Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals on May 30, 2024, at 5:30 PM EST at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Mavericks lead the series 3-1, but the Timberwolves are coming off a crucial Game 4 victory to extend the series. The line for this game is set at Minnesota -4.5, with the over/under at 209.5 points.


Team Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards leads the Timberwolves with 25.9 points per game, complemented by his 46.1% field goal shooting. Rudy Gobert is a dominant force in the paint with 12.9 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic continues to be the Mavericks' star player with 33.9 points and 9.8 assists per game, showcasing his ability to impact the game both as a scorer and a playmaker.

Injuries and Player Matchups

Injuries can significantly impact game outcomes.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley is listed as a game-time decision, but the Timberwolves are otherwise healthy.

Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II and Luka Doncic are game-time decisions, while Olivier-Maxence Prosper is out.

Recent Performances

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves won Game 4 with a score of 105-100, showing resilience and determination to extend the series. Their defense and execution in clutch moments were key to their success.

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks have lost momentum after their Game 4 loss but have still shown their ability to win close games in the series, taking the first three games with narrow margins.



For Game 5, the prediction is for the Timberwolves to cover the spread of -4.5. Here’s why betting on Minnesota is a strong pick:

  • Momentum Shift: The Timberwolves' Game 4 win has breathed new life into the team, and they now have the confidence and momentum to continue their comeback efforts. Playing at home with the crowd's support will further boost their performance.
  • Defense and Adjustments: Minnesota's defensive adjustments in Game 4 proved effective against Dallas. Expect the Timberwolves to continue focusing on limiting Luka Doncic's impact and forcing other Mavericks to step up.
  • Injury Concerns for Dallas: Luka Doncic and Dereck Lively II being game-time decisions could hamper the Mavericks' game plan. If Doncic is limited or unable to play, it significantly weakens Dallas' offense.
  • Star Performance: Anthony Edwards has been a consistent performer throughout the playoffs. His ability to score in various ways and impact both ends of the floor will be crucial in Game 5. Additionally, Karl-Anthony Towns' bounce-back game in Game 4 suggests he could be a decisive factor again.
  • Home Court Advantage: The Timberwolves have a strong home record (30-11) this season, and playing at the Target Center gives them a significant edge. The energy and support from the home crowd will be a driving force.

Considering these factors, it is reasonable to expect the Timberwolves to cover the -4.5 spread and secure a win to further extend the series.

Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5

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