New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 8 (7/8): MLB

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 8 (7/8): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Mets money line -165
Mets run line -1.5 (+135)
Marlins money line +134
Marlins run line +1.5 (-160)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  New York Mets Miami Marlins
Record 52-31 39-42
Home / road record 27-13 19-25
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 44-34-5 40-38-3
Runs / game 4.77 4.38
Runs allowed / game 4.01 4.19

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins will play the 2nd game of the series at the Citi Field on Friday night. The Mets outscored the Marlins 10-0 on Thursday game to take the lead on the series 1-0. J.D. Davis hit his first major league grand slam and James McCann launched a three-run homer. Trevor Williams pitched 7 scoreless ininngs.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 52-31 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.77 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 384 runs scored in 697 hits and 78 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .317 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 22 home runs and 69 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 4.01 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Chris Bassitt (6-5, 4.01 ERA)

Bassit will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Mets. Manager Buck Showalter said earlier this week that Bassitt wouldn't be ready to pitch again until at least Thursday, but the right-hander looks like he'll be ready for the second game of the home series against the Marlins. Prior to being placed on the IL, Bassitt had a 4.70 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 30.2 innings over five starts. He has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 4.05 and 14 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Marlins in his career.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 39-42 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.38 runs per game. They're batting for .245 AVG, have 346 runs scored in 653 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Chicago Cubs. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .311. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.3 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.81 ERA, 107 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: 

Pablo Lopez (5-4, 2.97 ERA) will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Marlins. Lopez struck out five batters in 6.1 innings of work against the Nationals, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks. He did not factor in the decision. He has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.99 and 37 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Miami Marlins are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Miami Marlins are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 9 games against Miami.

NY Mets are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games at home.

Prediction

The Mets destroyed the Marlins in the first game of the series scoring 10 runs and allowing none thanks to a great performance from Williams. Chris Bassit is back with the team and he allowed 3 runs in each of his last 2 starts agsint the Marlins. Miami will send Pablo Lopez to the mound who has been up and down this season and is holding a 4.99 ERA against the Mets in his career. I think the Marlins will get at least 2-3 runs on this game and the Mets will continue to pound the ball. This total has been set to low, take the over.

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110)

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