NBA Picks: Knicks vs Pacers Game 4 – Best Bets & Player Props (May 27, 2025)

Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals takes place Tuesday, May 27, with the Indiana Pacers holding a 2-1 lead over the New York Knicks. Tip-off is set for 5:00 PM CT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with national coverage on TNT/Max. After stealing Game 3 on the road, the Knicks look to even the series in Indianapolis.

Spread: Pacers -2.5
Total: 220.5
Moneyline: Pacers -135, Knicks +115

🏀 Game Preview

The Pacers dominated early in this series but collapsed in the second half of Game 3, allowing New York to claw back into the series behind Jalen Brunson’s leadership and Karl-Anthony Towns' rebounding presence. With the pressure shifting back to Indiana, expect Tyrese Haliburton to be aggressive from the jump as the Pacers try to avoid a 2-2 tie heading back to MSG.

🔥 Best Bet: Under 220.5 Total Points (-110)

All three games have shown pace fluctuation, but Game 3’s 106-100 result signals defensive adjustments. New York slowed the game down and forced Indiana into half-court looks. Expect another methodical tempo, especially if the Knicks maintain control on the glass.

Kingpin AI Model Projection: Pacers 108, Knicks 104

🎯 Top Player Prop Bets

1. Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 Points

Brunson is averaging 28.3 PPG this series and remains the Knicks’ clear closer. With the season on the line, he should play 40+ minutes and see volume shot attempts.

2. Tyrese Haliburton Over 8.5 Assists

Haliburton is averaging 9.2 APG and should bounce back after a quieter Game 3. If Indiana regains offensive rhythm, expect a double-digit assist outing.

3. Pascal Siakam Over 18.5 Points

Siakam is the most consistent scorer behind Haliburton for Indiana. He had 20+ in Games 1 and 2 and remains a mismatch at the 4 spot against New York’s switching defense.

📈 Key Stats & Trends

• Knicks: 6-4 in last 10 games, allowing just 106.2 PPG in wins
• Pacers: 8-2 in last 10 overall, but 1-4 ATS in last 5 at home
• Unders: The total has gone under in 4 of the last 5 Pacers games

 

Prediction

This should be another hard-fought, defensive battle. Indiana will come out more focused, but New York’s size and depth allow them to keep it close. Expect a grind-it-out contest with clutch free throws and defensive stops late.

Final Score: Pacers 108, Knicks 104

Best Bet: Under 220.5
Top Props: Brunson Over 26.5 pts, Haliburton Over 8.5 ast, Siakam Over 18.5 pts