MLB Betting Preview: Monday, April 28, 2025

Get ready for another exciting MLB slate on Monday, April 28, 2025! Our expert betting preview covers every game on the schedule, with confident expert predictions, recommended best bets (moneyline, run line, or totals), and the top player prop to watch in each matchup. From ace pitching duels to powerhouse lineups, we analyze the odds and identify the key factors that could move the needle. After each game breakdown, watch for a Kingpin Sportsbook banner featuring daily MLB promos and offers.

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New York Mets @ Washington Nationals (Canning vs Williams)

Expert Prediction: The Mets roll into D.C. as big favorites (-155) with Griffin Canning on the mound. Canning has shown strong command, and New York’s offense – led by sluggers like Pete Alonso and Francisco Alvarez – should outlast the Nationals. Washington’s lineup is thin and Trevor Williams has struggled to keep runs off the board, so look for the Mets to dominate. Our pick: New York wins handily in what should be a one-sided affair.

Best Bet: Take the Mets moneyline (-155). New York’s lineup has too much pop for Washington’s pitching staff, even on the road. If you want risk management, consider the Mets on the run line (-1.5) for an even better price. The Nationals have not shown much scoring ability, so the value lies with New York.

Top Player Prop to Watch: Pete Alonso 1+ RBI. Alonso is one of baseball’s elite sluggers, and he should see plenty of strikes from Williams. A prop bet on Alonso driving in at least one run (or going deep for a homer) is juicy here. Another option: Francisco Alvarez total bases, as the young catcher is a major run producer. Riding Alonso’s bat is our favorite prop in this game.

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Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians (Ober vs Williams)

Expert Prediction: This AL Central clash is a tight pitching matchup, but we lean Cleveland at home. Bailey Ober (Twins) has been hit-or-miss so far, while rookie Gavin Williams (Guardians) has impressed and will get home crowd support. The Guardians’ offense (José Ramírez, Josh Naylor, etc.) is clicking, and Cleveland has the edge in run production. We predict Guardians win a close one, using their lineup advantage in late innings to pull away.

Best Bet: Grab the Guardians moneyline (-120). Playing at Progressive Field gives Cleveland a slight home advantage, and the run total is a modest 7.5 runs. If you can find it, a Guardians -1.5 run line is also attractive. We like this moneyline pick over the under, given both pitchers.

Top Player Prop to Watch: José Ramírez 1+ hit. As Cleveland’s perennial star, Ramírez will be in the middle of the action. A bet on Ramírez 1+ hits (or even 1+ RBI) is a smart play. On the Twins side, Byron Buxton 1+ extra-base hit could also pay off, but Ramírez offers more upside in this matchup.

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🔥 Join Kingpin and follow the top bettors beating the books! Get exclusive picks from **LM Tipster** (+323 units, 60% Win Rate), **BetDaFarm** (+43 units, 49% Win Rate) and **Billy Locks** (+70 units, 60% Win Rate). Download the Kingpin app for Android or iOS now and start tailing their winning plays today!

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New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles (Warren vs Sugano)

Expert Prediction: The Yankees come in as slight favorites (-120) on the road. Rookie Will Warren takes the ball for New York after a solid spring, while the Orioles debut veteran Tomoyuki Sugano on short rest. Even though Sugano is a Japanese ace, we trust the Yankees’ potent lineup (Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and others) to generate runs. Our expert calls for a Yankees win, thanks to big bats getting to Sugano early.

Best Bet: Take the Yankees moneyline (-120). With a near-even total of 9.5, this could be a high-scoring affair, but the safer play is simply backing New York to win. If you want to play the total, the Over 9.5 looks viable too given both powerful offenses, but we favor the moneyline.

Top Player Prop to Watch: Aaron Judge 1+ RBI. Judge is a home run threat every at-bat, and even a single run batted in helps. Another angle: Anthony Volpe total bases, as the rookie shortstop has multi-hit upside against an MLB debut pitcher. Lock in Judge or Volpe for a productive day.

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🔥 Join Kingpin and follow the top bettors beating the books! Get exclusive picks from **LM Tipster** (+323 units, 60% Win Rate), **BetDaFarm** (+43 units, 49% Win Rate) and **Billy Locks** (+70 units, 60% Win Rate). Download the Kingpin app for Android or iOS now and start tailing their winning plays today!

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St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds (Pallante vs Martinez)

Expert Prediction: The Reds are slight home favorites (-120), and for good reason. Andre Pallante (Cardinals) has been inconsistent, while Cincinnati counters with veteran Nick Martinez. The Cardinals still boast All-Star Nolan Arenado, but the Reds’ young offense (Elly De La Cruz, Will Benson) is hot. We give the edge to Cincinnati. A partisan crowd at Great American Ball Park should cheer them to a midweek win.

Best Bet: Reds moneyline (-120) is the play here. Cincinnati should outhit St. Louis, and their arms (even Martinez) look serviceable at home. If you want more margin, the Reds on the run line (-1.5) offers great value at a small juice. But the simplest wager is Cincy to win straight-up.

Top Player Prop to Watch: Elly De La Cruz 1+ hit. The Reds’ young shortstop has been a breakout star, and he’s likely to come through in a big spot. You could also target Nick Castellanos 1+ RBI – the veteran outfielder often drives in runs. On the Cardinals side, Nolan Arenado 1+ RBI is always tempting, but we trust De La Cruz’s spark.

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🔥 Join Kingpin and follow the top bettors beating the books! Get exclusive picks from **LM Tipster** (+323 units, 60% Win Rate), **BetDaFarm** (+43 units, 49% Win Rate) and **Billy Locks** (+70 units, 60% Win Rate). Download the Kingpin app for Android or iOS now and start tailing their winning plays today!

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Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers (Sears vs Corbin)

Expert Prediction: Even-money Rangers (-110) at home are expected to win. J.P. Sears makes his first start for Oakland, and he’ll have a tough task facing Patrick Corbin of Texas. Corbin settled into the rotation after signing, while the A’s lineup has struggled. The Rangers’ offense (Bo Bichette, Adolis García, etc.) should carry them to victory. We predict a Texas win in Arlington.

Best Bet: Back the Rangers moneyline (-110). The Athletics have one of the weakest offenses, so even a shaky Corbin should get enough run support. For a higher payoff, try the Rangers on the run line (-1.5); it gives great value if Texas wins by two or more. The total is 9.5, but we look for the Rangers to put this game away early.

Top Player Prop to Watch: Marcus Semien 1+ hit. The former Athletic has extra motivation against his old team and usually hits near the top of the lineup. Another strong prop: Adolis García 1+ RBI; the power-hitting outfielder should find gaps. Between those two, our money is on Semien’s consistency.

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🔥 Join Kingpin and follow the top bettors beating the books! Get exclusive picks from **LM Tipster** (+323 units, 60% Win Rate), **BetDaFarm** (+43 units, 49% Win Rate) and **Billy Locks** (+70 units, 60% Win Rate). Download the Kingpin app for Android or iOS now and start tailing their winning plays today!

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Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros (Flaherty vs Blanco)

Expert Prediction: This matchup is intriguing, but we’ll lean Houston at home. The Tigers (-115 favorites) counter with Jack Flaherty on the mound against Ronel Blanco, a budding Astros ace coming off a dominant 2024. Houston’s offense (Altuve, Bregman, Peña, Tucker) can explode, and Minute Maid Park is hitter-friendly. We’ll take the Astros to win on the road by a narrow margin.

Best Bet: The safer way is Astros moneyline (+105) for better odds than the favorite, since Detroit’s pitching has been shaky. The total of 7.5 is low; we actually lean Over 7.5 runs as both lineups can score. For a risk-averse bet, Tigers -115 would likely hit given their form, but we like the Astros at value.

Top Player Prop to Watch: Kyle Tucker 1+ RBI. Tucker is a clutch power bat in this Astros lineup, and he should drive in runs. On the Detroit side, Aurelio Rodríguez 1+ hit is worth a shot – the rookie SS has multi-hit upside. Between the two, we prefer Tucker’s experience, but Rodríguez could surprise.

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🔥 Join Kingpin and follow the top bettors beating the books! Get exclusive picks from **LM Tipster** (+323 units, 60% Win Rate), **BetDaFarm** (+43 units, 49% Win Rate) and **Billy Locks** (+70 units, 60% Win Rate). Download the Kingpin app for Android or iOS now and start tailing their winning plays today!

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Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies (Elder vs Feltner)

Expert Prediction: The Braves are heavy favorites and for good reason. Bryce Elder (Braves) is a much tougher matchup than Ryan Feltner (Rockies). Coors Field is hitter-friendly, but Colorado’s offense has little punch. We predict a Braves win – Atlanta’s lineup (Olson, Riley, d’Arnaud, etc.) will outscore Colorado.

Best Bet: Braves moneyline is the safest bet. If a run line is offered, Braves -1.5 is tempting (Coors often yields high scores, making large wins possible). Regardless, backing Atlanta straight-up is our top call.

Top Player Prop to Watch: Matt Olson 1+ RBI. The first baseman mashes and should rack up runs in this one. Another good prop: Ozzie Albies 1+ hits – he’s been a consistent leadoff performer. Olson driving in runs is our marquee prop for this game.

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🔥 Join Kingpin and follow the top bettors beating the books! Get exclusive picks from **LM Tipster** (+323 units, 60% Win Rate), **BetDaFarm** (+43 units, 49% Win Rate) and **Billy Locks** (+70 units, 60% Win Rate). Download the Kingpin app for Android or iOS now and start tailing their winning plays today!

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Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Cabrera vs May)

Expert Prediction: The Dodgers are massive favorites (-300) on their home field. Lefty Edward Cabrera (Marlins) will face Dustin May, who has been solid. Los Angeles is loaded (Betts, Freeman, Seager, etc.) and should dominate. We expect a Dodgers blowout – May will cruise and L.A. batters will feast on Cabrera.

Best Bet: The Dodgers moneyline (-300) is the straightforward pick. If you want more juice, take Dodgers on the run line (-1.5) for a bargain. The O/U is 8.5; Over 8.5 might hit given this slate’s scoring, but the surefire play is Los Angeles on the moneyline or run line.

Top Player Prop to Watch: Mookie Betts 1+ hit. Betts is a perennial leadoff machine and will likely set the table or drive runs. Another top prop: Freddie Freeman 1+ RBI. We like Betts’s consistency – make a bet on Betts recording at least one hit.

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🔥 Join Kingpin and follow the top bettors beating the books! Get exclusive picks from **LM Tipster** (+323 units, 60% Win Rate), **BetDaFarm** (+43 units, 49% Win Rate) and **Billy Locks** (+70 units, 60% Win Rate). Download the Kingpin app for Android or iOS now and start tailing their winning plays today!

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FAQ

• What are the best MLB bets today?
  Our top bets include backing our predicted winners on the moneyline:

  • Mets moneyline (over Nationals)

  • Guardians moneyline (over Twins)

  • Yankees moneyline (over Orioles)

  • Reds moneyline (over Cardinals)

  • Rangers moneyline (over A’s)

  • Astros moneyline (+105, over Tigers)

  • Braves moneyline (over Rockies)

  • Dodgers moneyline (over Marlins)
    In addition, consider Over 7.5 runs in the Tigers-Astros game and Over 8.5 runs in the Dodgers-Marlins game. For extra value, the Dodgers and Rangers on the run line (-1.5) are strong plays today.

• What are the best picks today?
  We’re backing the favorites and high-powered lineups:

  • Mets over Nationals

  • Guardians over Twins

  • Yankees over Orioles

  • Reds over Cardinals

  • Rangers over Athletics

  • Astros over Tigers

  • Braves over Rockies

  • Dodgers over Marlins

• Which player props are recommended today?
  The stand-out player props to target:

  • Pete Alonso 1+ RBI (Mets)

  • José Ramírez 1+ hit (Guardians)

  • Aaron Judge 1+ RBI (Yankees)

  • Elly De La Cruz 1+ hit (Reds)

  • Marcus Semien 1+ hit (Rangers)

  • Kyle Tucker 1+ RBI (Astros)

  • Matt Olson 1+ RBI (Braves)

  • Mookie Betts 1+ hit (Dodgers)

• What are the predictions for each MLB game today?
  Our game-by-game picks:

  • Mets @ Nationals: Mets win

  • Twins @ Guardians: Guardians win

  • Yankees @ Orioles: Yankees win

  • Cardinals @ Reds: Reds win

  • Athletics @ Rangers: Rangers win

  • Tigers @ Astros: Astros win

  • Braves @ Rockies: Braves win

  • Marlins @ Dodgers: Dodgers win

  These predictions are based on the pitching matchups, team form, and home-field edges. Bet responsibly and good luck on Monday’s games!