Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Pick and Preview, February 13 (2/13): NBA

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Pick and Preview, February 13 (2/13): NBA

 

Odds

 

Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Nuggets money line +105
Nuggets spread +1.5 (-110)
Heat money line -123
Heat spread -1.5 (-110)
Over / under 224

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Denver Nuggets Miami Heat
Record 39-18 32-25
Road / home record 13-14 19-9
Streak W1 L1
Points per game 117.00 108.00
Points allowed per game 113.00 108.00
Rebounds per game 48.00 44.00
Rebounds allowed per game 44.00 41.00
Over / under record 27-29-1 24-32-1
 

Preview

The Denver Nuggets continue on the road and will visit the Miami Heat at the Miami-Dade Arena on Monday night. These teams already faced each other earlier this season in Denver where the Nuggets took the win 124-119 and covered the spread as -4 points favorites.

 

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets get here with a 39-18 record and are 13-14 on the road so far this season ranking 1st in the Northwest Division. The Nuggets are 19-9 in conference games. Denver ranks fifth in the Western Conference with 54.8 points per game in the paint led by Nikola Jokic averaging 15.7.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.9 points, 11.4 rebounds and 10.1 assists for the Nuggets. Jamal Murray is averaging 18.5 points and 4.6 assists over the last 10 games for Denver.

In their last 10 games, the Nuggets are 6-4, averaging 116.8 points, 42.2 rebounds, 29.8 assists, 8.5 steals and 4.7 blocks per game while shooting 50.6% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 112.9 points.

Miami Heat

The Heat get here with an 32-25 record and are 19-9 at home so far ranking 1st in the Southeast Division. Miami is last in the Eastern Conference scoring 11.2 fast break points per game.

Tyler Herro is shooting 36.9% from beyond the arc with 3.0 made 3-pointers per game for the Heat, while averaging 20.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.4 assists. Bam Adebayo is shooting 56.3% and averaging 21.1 points over the past 10 games for Miami.

In the last 10 games, the Heat are 7-3, averaging 106.4 points, 42.2 rebounds, 22.6 assists, 9.2 steals and 2.9 blocks per game while shooting 43.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 105.3 points per game.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Denver are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.

Denver are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Miami.

Denver are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Miami.

Denver are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Denver are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami.

Miami are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games.

Miami are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games against Denver.

 

Prediction

The Nuggets have managed to win 5 of their last 7 games even without 2 of their best players in Murray and Gordon but Aaron Gordon has a chance to return for this game who has been on fire lately. Miami has won 3 games in a row and are ranking #2 in defense in the league but they have struggled against the Nuggets losing 8 of the last 10 head to head games. If Gordon is ready to go I'll definitely take the Nuggets.

 

PICK: Nuggets +1.5 (-110)

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