Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview, February 25 (2/25): NBA

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview, February 25 (2/25): NBA

 

Odds

 

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Nuggets money line +102
Nuggets spread +2 (-110)
Grizzlies money line -120
Grizzlies spread -2 (-110)
Over / under 234.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Denver Nuggets Memphis Grizzlies
Record 42-18 35-23
Road / home record 15-14 24-5
Streak W4 L1
Points per game 117.00 116.00
Points allowed per game 112.00 112.00
Rebounds per game 48.00 44.00
Rebounds allowed per game 44.00 41.00
Over / under record 28-30-1 28-33
 

Preview

On February 25, 2023, the Denver Nuggets will be facing off against the Memphis Grizzlies at the FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. The Nuggets currently sit atop the Western Conference standings with a record of 42-18, while the Grizzlies are in second place with a record of 35-23. In the last meeting between these two teams on December 21, 2022, the Nuggets won 105-91, led by 24 points from Aaron Gordon. However, Gordon is currently day-to-day with a rib injury, which means he may not play in this game. The Nuggets will need other players to step up if Gordon is unable to go.

 

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets have had a good season so far, winning 42 games and losing 18. They are currently sitting atop the Western Conference standings. The Nuggets have a talented team with star player Nikola Jokic leading the way. Jokic has been outstanding this season, averaging 24.7 points, 11.5 rebounds, and 10.1 assists per game. Jamal Murray has also been playing well, averaging 16.7 points per game over the last ten games.

The Nuggets are one of the best shooting teams in the league, especially from beyond the arc. They are shooting 39.2% from three-point range this season, which is the best in the Western Conference. Their three-point shooting could be a significant factor in their game against the Grizzlies.

INJURIES: The Nuggets also have four players on their injury list, with Aaron Gordon day-to-day with a rib injury, Collin Gillespie out with a leg injury, Zeke Nnaji day-to-day with a shoulder injury, and Jamal Murray day-to-day with a knee injury.

Jokic has been one of the best players in the league this season and has been the driving force behind the Nuggets' success. His excellent scoring, rebounding, and playmaking abilities make him one of the toughest players to defend in the NBA. DeAndre Jordan will be another player to watch out for. He has been shooting 100.0% from three-point range this season and has been an important player for the Nuggets. His shooting abilities could prove to be crucial in the game against the Grizzlies.

Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies are the top team in the Western Conference with 17.6 fast break points led by Desmond Bane averaging 4.4. This means that they excel in pushing the pace of the game, which could be a problem for the Nuggets, who rank eighth in the Western Conference with 32.9 defensive rebounds per game led by Nikola Jokic averaging 9.4. Jokic is an elite rebounder, but he cannot do it all alone. The Nuggets will need to do a better job of boxing out and preventing the Grizzlies from getting out in transition.

The Grizzlies are led by Ja Morant, who is ninth in the league in scoring with 27.1 points per game. Morant is also a great playmaker, averaging 8.2 assists per game. He will be a handful for the Nuggets' defense to contain. The Grizzlies also have a solid supporting cast in players like Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr.

They are 4-6 over their last 10 games, averaging 110.3 points, 43.2 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 9.4 steals, and 6.5 blocks per game while shooting 46.5% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 110.3 points per game.

Injury Concerns

In terms of injuries, the Grizzlies will be without Steven Adams, who is out with a knee injury. Luke Kennard is day-to-day with an illness but could still play. 

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 11 games.

Denver are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

Denver are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Memphis.

Denver are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against Memphis.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis.

Memphis are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis' last 14 games.

Memphis are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis' last 6 games against Denver.

Memphis are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Nuggets have the advantage in terms of recent form, but the Grizzlies have a strong home record and the benefit of their home crowd. The Grizzlies' ability to push the pace of the game and score in transition could give them an edge, as the Nuggets may struggle to keep up with their speed.

In addition, the Grizzlies have several players who can contribute on the offensive end. Ja Morant is a dynamic scorer and playmaker, while Desmond Bane has been playing well recently, averaging 19.4 points and 4.5 rebounds while shooting 50.0% over the past 10 games. The Nuggets will need to do a better job of containing these players if they want to win.

On the other hand, the Nuggets will be relying heavily on Nikola Jokic, who is one of the best players in the league. Jokic's ability to score, rebound, and pass makes him a matchup nightmare for any team. If he can continue to play at a high level, the Nuggets will have a chance to win this game.

However, in the end, the Grizzlies' home court advantage and ability to play at a fast pace should give them the edge in this matchup. If the Nuggets are unable to contain Ja Morant and the Grizzlies' transition offense, they could be in for a long night. Additionally, if Aaron Gordon is unable to play, it will be a significant loss for the Nuggets, as he is a key player on both ends of the court.

 

PICK: Grizzlies ML (-120)

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