Heat vs Bucks Game 3 Prediction NBA Playoffs Picks 4/22

Heat vs Bucks Game 3 Prediction NBA Playoffs Picks 4/22

© Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

 

Game Preview: Bucks vs Heat (Apr 22, 2023) Pregame

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat are tied 1-1 heading into Game 3 of the Eastern Conference first round on Saturday, April 22nd at 7:30 p.m. EDT. The Heat are favored by 5.5 points with an over/under of 220.5. NBA picks experts, NBA picks computer, NBA picks em predictions, NBA today experts, NBA picks and parlay, NBA experts picks today, best NBA bets today, NBA picks with spread, NBA predictions today, NBA picks for today, NBA picks odds, NBA picks and parlays, and NBA picks today can provide more insight on this matchup. The Bucks won the last matchup against the Heat, 138-122. Brook Lopez led the Bucks with 25 points, and Jimmy Butler led the Heat with 25 points. The Heat have the league's lowest-scoring offense, averaging just 109.5 points per game, while the Bucks have gone 35-17 against Eastern Conference opponents and are averaging 116.9 points per game. Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.4 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists for the Heat, while Butler is averaging 17.6 points and 5.1 assists over the last 10 games. Bobby Portis is shooting 58.3% and averaging 17.0 points for the Bucks, and Jevon Carter is averaging 2.0 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games for Milwaukee. In the last 10 games, the Heat are 5-5, averaging 114.3 points, 38.9 rebounds, 26.6 assists, 7.0 steals, and 1.9 blocks per game while shooting 50.2% from the field. The Bucks are 6-4, averaging 121.0 points, 45.7 rebounds, 28.7 assists, 5.7 steals, and 3.8 blocks per game while shooting 49.5% from the field. The Heat have two players out due to injury—Tyler Herro (hand) and Nikola Jovic (back)—while the Bucks have two players listed day-to-day—Giannis Antetokounmpo (back) and Wesley Matthews (calf). The Milwaukee Bucks' stats show a strong offense, averaging 117.2 points per game (ranked 6th in the league) and a solid defense, giving up 113.6 points per game (ranked 14th), while the Miami Heat have struggled to score, averaging just 109.5 points per game (ranked last league-wide).

 

Bucks: Offensive Analysis

The Milwaukee Bucks are heading into Game 3 against the Miami Heat tied 1-1 in the Eastern Conference first-round playoffs. The Bucks dominated the Heat 138-122 in the last matchup, led by Brook Lopez's 25 points. Miami, on the other hand, has the league's lowest-scoring offense, averaging just 109.5 points per game. Despite an injury that has Giannis Antetokounmpo listed as day-to-day, the Bucks have a strong offensive record. They rank first in the Eastern Conference with an average of 116.9 points per game while shooting 47.3%. Bobby Portis has been a standout player, shooting 58.3% and averaging 17.0 points for the Bucks. Jevon Carter has been consistently making 3-pointers over the last 10 games. The Heat's top performers include Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 20.4 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists, and Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 17.6 points and 5.1 assists over the last 10 games. Looking at the stats, the Bucks have a higher effective field goal percentage at 55.6%, but the Heat have the better defense with an opponent effective field goal percentage of 52.3%. Milwaukee is also strong on the boards, averaging 56.7 total rebounds per game, thanks in part to Brook Lopez's 7.7 rebounds per game. Despite being tied in the series, the Bucks are favored by computer NBA picks experts and NBA picks em experts with the Heat-5.5 handicap. The over/under is at 220.5. If the Bucks continue to perform offensively and make up for Antetokounmpo's absence, they could be well on their way to taking control of the series.

Bucks: Defensive Analysis

In the first two games of the series, the Milwaukee Bucks showed a strong defensive performance against the Miami Heat. They held the Heat to 107 and 98 points respectively, well below their season average of 109.5 points per game, and limited their shooting percentage to 45.4% and 43.1%. This impressive defensive effort can be attributed to the Bucks' ability to protect the paint, as they only allowed 42 points in the paint in Game 1 and 34 points in Game 2. The Bucks also excelled in forcing turnovers, as they recorded 14 steals in Game 1 and 10 steals in Game 2. In particular, Jrue Holiday has been a key contributor to the Bucks' defensive success, as he recorded 4 steals in Game 1 and 3 steals in Game 2. His ability to disrupt the Heat's offense will be crucial in Game 3. Another area where the Bucks have been strong is in rebounding. They lead the league in total rebounds per game with 56.7, and have outrebounded the Heat in both games of the series. This dominance on the boards has allowed the Bucks to limit the Heat's second-chance opportunities and control the pace of the game. Overall, the Milwaukee Bucks have shown a solid defensive performance in the first two games of the series against the Miami Heat. They have excelled in protecting the paint, forcing turnovers, and rebounding. If they can maintain this level of defensive intensity in Game 3, they will have a good chance of taking a 2-1 lead in the series. As per the recent NBA Picks and predictions, the Bucks have a slight advantage going into the game, and their strong defense will be critical in securing a win against the Heat.

 

Heat: Offense Analysis

The Miami Heat heading into Game 3 against the Milwaukee Bucks tied at 1-1 in the Eastern Conference first round. The offense of Heat is struggling as they possess the league's lowest-scoring offense, averaging just 109.5 points per game. This is a major concern for Heat as they need to put more points on the board in order to keep up with the Bucks. The top performers for Heat, Bam Adebayo, and Jimmy Butler need to step up their game in order to avoid going down in the series. Adebayo is averaging 20.4 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists, while Butler is averaging 17.6 points and 5.1 assists over the last 10 games for Miami. On the other hand, Milwaukee Bucks have gone 35-17 against Eastern Conference opponents and possess the league's eighth-highest-scoring offense averaging 116.9 points per game while shooting 47.3%. Bobby Portis is shooting 58.3% from the field and averaging 17.0 points for the Bucks. Jevon Carter is also averaging 2.0 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games for Milwaukee. The offensive statistics of Milwaukee Bucks are a reason of concern for the Miami Heat as they will have to face a well-rounded team. The experts and computer predictions also give an edge to the Bucks as they are likely to win the game. The NBA experts picks and parlay, NBA picks with the spread, NBA predictions today, NBA picks for today, and NBA picks odds all predict a win for the Bucks.

Heat: Defensive Analysis

As the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat head into their third game tied at 1-1 in the Eastern Conference first round, defense will undoubtedly play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the series. The Heat have struggled with their offense all season, averaging just 109.5 points per game, the lowest in the league. However, they have been much more effective on the defensive end, allowing just 106.8 points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Their ability to slow down the Bucks' offense, which averages 116.9 points per game, will be key in game three. One player who will be crucial to Miami's defensive efforts is Bam Adebayo. Adebayo is averaging 1.0 blocks and 1.2 steals per game this season and has the athleticism and versatility to guard multiple positions. His ability to disrupt the Bucks' offensive rhythm will be a major factor in the Heat's success. The Bucks, on the other hand, have been much more balanced on both ends of the floor, with their offense ranking sixth in the league and their defense ranking 14th. They will look to continue their strong offensive performance in game three, led by Bobby Portis, who is shooting 58.3% and averaging 17.0 points per game, and Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is day-to-day with a back injury. The Heat's defense will need to focus on limiting Milwaukee's three-point shooting, as they are ninth in the league in three-point percentage at 36.9%. They will also need to stay disciplined and avoid fouling, as the Bucks shoot the second-most free throws per game in the league. In conclusion, as both teams head into game three with the series tied, defense will play a crucial role in determining the outcome. The Heat's ability to slow down the Bucks' offense and limit their three-point shooting, along with the Bucks' ability to stay disciplined and avoid fouling, will be key factors to watch in this crucial game. 

 

Injury Report

The Miami Heat will be without Tyler Herro (hand) and Nikola Jokic (back) for the upcoming matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, the Bucks' Giannis Antetokounmpo (back) and Wesley Matthews (calf) are considered day-to-day. Herro has been a key contributor for the Heat this season, averaging 15.8 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game. Jokic has appeared in only six games this season and has not played since March 31. Antetokounmpo's status is uncertain heading into the game, but his absence would be a significant blow for the Bucks. The two-time MVP is averaging 28.4 points, 11.1 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game this season. Matthews has played a supporting role off the bench for Milwaukee, averaging 4.1 points per game. The Bucks have been relatively healthy this season, with no major injuries to key players. With or without Antetokounmpo, they should have enough depth to compete with the Heat in Game 3.

 

Betting Trends

As the Bucks and the Heat head into game three of their Eastern Conference first-round series tied at 1-1, here's a look at some of the key betting trends surrounding this matchup: - The Bucks have covered the spread in three of their last five games against the Heat. - Milwaukee is 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games overall. - The total has gone over in five of the Bucks' last seven games. - The Heat are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games at home. - Miami is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games overall. - The total has gone over in six of the Heat's last nine home games. - The Bucks are 2-4 against the spread in their last six road games. - The total has gone over in four of the last five meetings between these two teams. Based on these trends, experts and computer models predict that the Bucks will cover the spread as 5.5-point underdogs and that the total will go over the projected 220.5 points. Bettors may also want to consider parlaying the Bucks' spread with the over for potentially higher payouts, as both teams have high-scoring offenses and have shown a tendency to allow points in recent games.

 

Prediction:

Without Antetokounmpo, the Bucks' offense may struggle to keep up with the Heat's defense. Additionally, the Heat have a strong defensive record, allowing just 106.8 points per game, which is ninth in the league. The Bucks will need to rely on their other players, such as Bobby Portis, to step up and fill the void left by Antetokounmpo. Despite this, the Bucks have a strong offense, averaging 116.9 points per game, and a solid defense, giving up 113.6 points per game. They have also shown a strong defensive performance in the first two games of the series against the Heat, limiting their shooting percentage and forcing turnovers. Ultimately, it will come down to which team can execute their game plan and take control of the game. Based on recent NBA Picks and predictions, the Bucks have a slight advantage going into the game, and their strong defense will be critical in securing a win against the Heat.

Pick: Heat (+5.5) 

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