Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 20 (5/20): NBA

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 20 (5/20): NBA

Credit: photo by Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 9:00 p.m. EST
Mavericks money line +215
Mavericks spread +6.5
Warriors money line -260
Warriors spread -6.5
Over / under 214

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Dallas Mavericks Golden State Warriors
Record 60-36 62-32
Road / home record 26-23 38-10
Streak L1 W2
Points per game 107.62 111.38
Points allowed per game 104.49 106.02
Rebounds per game 42.19 45.26
Rebounds allowed per game 43.78 42.72
Over / under record 36-58-2 42-50-2

Preview

The Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks will play the Game 2 of the Western Conference finals at the Chase Center on Friday night. The Warriors dominated in Game 1 and beat the Mavs 112-87 to take the lead 1-0 on the series.

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 26-23 on he road this season. They have a 60-36 record overall ranking 2nd in the Southwest. The Mavericks have gone 44-22 against Western Conference opponents. Dallas scores 107.6 points and has outscored opponents by 3.3 points per game.

Doncic is averaging 28.4 points, 9.1 rebounds and 8.7 assists for the Mavericks. Jalen Brunson is averaging 20.9 points over the last 10 games for Dallas.

In their last 10 games the Mavericks are 6-4, averaging 105.2 points, 39.7 rebounds, 21.9 assists, 6.7 steals and 2.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 100.4 points.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 38-10 at home ranking first in the Western Conference with a 62-23 record overall, the best in the league. The Warriors have gone 42-22 against Western Conference opponents. Golden State ranks eighth in the NBA allowing just 107.3 points per game while holding opponents to 44.4% shooting.

Stephen Curry is averaging 25.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 6.3 assists for the Warriors. Jordan Poole is averaging 4.4 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games for Golden State.

In their last 10 games the Warriors are 7-3, averaging 113.3 points, 46.4 rebounds, 25.9 assists, 6.4 steals and 3.9 blocks per game while shooting 46.3% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 110.5 points.

BETTING TRENDS

Dallas are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games.

Dallas are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against Golden State.

Golden State are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of Golden State's last 17 games against Dallas.

Prediction

The Mavericks were dominated by the Warriors defense in game 1. They were held to 36% from the field goal and only 22.9% from long distance, the Warriors had 7 blocks against them as well. I don't see the Mavericks scoring that low again and the Warriors will be full of confidence for game 2 so I'm gonna take the over this time. In the last 10 head to head games the average score is 115.5-113.8 favoring the Mavs.

PICK: Over 214 (-110)

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