Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 15 (1/15) NFL
- Lm Tipster
- Jan 15, 2023, 1:26:21 AM
Odds
| Time | 1:00 p.m. EST |
| Bills money line | -1150 |
| Bills spread | -13.5 (-110) |
| Dolphins money line | +725 |
| Dolphins spread | +13.5 (-110) |
| Over / under | 44 |
2022 season stats
| Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins | |
| Record | 13-3 | 9-8 |
| Home / road record | 7-1 | 3-6 |
| Points per game | 28.1 | 24.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 17.1 | 24.4 |
| Pass yards per game | 259.0 | 273.0 |
| Rush yards per game | 142.0 | 95.0 |
| Total yards per game | 401.0 | 368.0 |
| Total yards allowed per game | 317.0 | 347.0 |
Preview
The Miami Dolphins will visit the Buffalo Bills at the Highmark Stadium to play the AFC Wild Card Playoff game. These teams faced each other twice in the regular season and they tied 1-1 but the Dolphins covered the spread as underdogs both games.
Buffalo Bills
The Bills get here with a 13-3 record overall and are 7-1 at home so far ranking 1st in the AFC East. They finished the regular season with a 7 game winning streak. In their last game they beat the Patriots 35-23 at home. Josh Allen had 4,283 passing yards, 35 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions at the end of the regular season. Devin Singletary had the most yards rushing with 819 and the most touchdowns with 5. Stefon Diggs led all receivers in receiving yards with 1,429 and touchdowns with 11 scored.
Defensively Buffalo ranks among the league's top defensive squads, allowing just 17.1 points per game. In their 7 game winning streak they have allowed an average of 20 points per game.
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins have lost 5 of their last 6 games and get here with a 9-8 record. They are 3-6 on the road ranking 2nd in the NFC West. In their last game at home they beat the Jets 11-6 and couldn't score a touchdown. They struggled at the end of the season as Tua Tagovailoa entered concussion protocol for the second time this season and Teddy Bridgewater dislocated the pinkie on his throwing hand but he's expected to be available for this game so they will be playing with 2 quarterbacks most likely.
The Defense is allowing 24 points per game and has been very tough against the run allowing only 95 yards but 273 passing yards. They struggled as well in the end of the season allowing 24 points per game.
BETTING TRENDS
Miami are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
Miami are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road.
Miami are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo.
Buffalo are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Buffalo's last 16 games against Miami.
Buffalo are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home.
Prediction
The Bills have been on fire offensively in their last 3 games averaging 33 points per game and will have the home advantage where they have lost only 1 of the last 12 games there. However, they're only 4-4 ATS at home and covered 14 points in only 2 of them. The Dolphins will be without the starting quarterback and will have to play with their secondaries so expect them to struggle against this Bills tough defense. In games with temperatures below 34 degrees, the Dolphins have a record of 7-14 with a winning percentage of 33% and without their best player is hard to believe they can keep this game close so I'm going with the Bills to win by 2 touchdowns.
PICK: Bills -13.5 (-110)
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