Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 22 (7/22): MLB

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 22 (7/22): MLB

Credit: photo by Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Blue Jays money line -110
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+145)
Red Sox money line -110
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-170)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Toronto Blue Jays  Boston Red Sox
Record 50-43 48-45
Home / road record 20-24 23-20
Last 10 record 5-5 3-7
Streak W3 L2
Over / under record 50-41-1 41-43-9
Runs / game 4.60 4.62
Runs allowed / game 4.34 4.44

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Fenway Park. The Red Sox lost their last series against the Yankees while the Blue Jays beat the Royals 3 of 4 times to take the series before the All-Star break.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 50-43 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.70 runs per game and they're batting for .262 AVG, have 428 runs scored in 830 hits and 119 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Boston Red Sox. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .268 ERA, 57 RBI and 20 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .317 AVG.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.34 runs per game and rank #18 in the league. All-Star Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.28 ERA and 103 strikeouts recording 10 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:  Kevin Gausman (6-7, 2.87 ERA)

Gausman will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Toronto. Gausman took the loss against Kansas City on Thursday, allowing two runs on seven hits and two walks in six innings while striking out six. He has a 6-8 record with an ERA of 3.75 and 109 strikeouts in 23 appearances versus the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 48-45 record and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.60 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 430 runs scored in 823 hits and 91 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league, behind the Boston Red Sox. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 22 home runs and 55 RBI, batting for .324 AVG while Trevor Story leads in RBI's with 58. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.44 runs per game and rank #20 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 8 wins recorded with a 4.50 ERA and 104 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:  Nathan Eovaldi (4-2, 3.34 ERA)

Eovaldi will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Red Sox. Eovaldi did not factor into the decision in the Yankees' 5-4 extra-innings win on Friday, allowing three runs on six hits and two walks over 4.1 innings. He struck out four batters. He is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.13 and 59 strikeouts in 11 appearances against the Blue Jays in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto Blue Jays are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home.

Boston Red Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.

Prediction

The Blue Jays won their last 2 series before the All-Star break and are 7-3 against the Red Sox so far this season. They'll send Kevin Gausman to the mound who has absolutely dominated the Red Sox this season allowing only 1 run in his last 21 innings against them. The Red Sox struggled at the end of the first half as they lost their last 2 series. Nathan Eovaldi will start for Boston and he allowed 3 runs in his return against the Yankees but has had 2 good outings vs Toronto this season. The Blue Jays have been better this season and Gausman should dominate the Red Sox again. Take the Blue Jays.

PICK: Blue Jays ML (-110)

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