Aces vs Wings Game 2 Prediction WNBA Picks 9/26

Aces vs Wings Game 2 Prediction WNBA Picks 9/26

© Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

 

WNBA Semifinals - Game 2: Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces

The Dallas Wings (22-18, 11-9 away) face off against the Las Vegas Aces (34-6, 19-1 home) in Game 2 of the WNBA Semifinals. The Aces currently lead the series 1-0, with Game 2 scheduled for September 26, 2023, at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV. With the line set at LV -10.5 and the over/under at 175.5, this analysis will delover our best bet for the game.

 

Las Vegas Aces: The Unyielding Juggernauts

Season Recap

The Las Vegas Aces have had a stellar season, with a 34-6 record, and they've been nearly unbeatable at home (19-1). Their formidable offense is spearheaded by A'ja Wilson, who averages 22.8 PPG on an impressive 55.7% FG and 81.2% FT. Aces also have a strong playmaker in Chelsea Gray, who has been dishing out 7.3 assists per game.

Offensive Stats

The Aces are an offensive powerhouse, averaging 92.8 points per game with a team field goal percentage of 48.6%. Their assist-to-turnover ratio, led by Gray, stands at a healthy 21.7 to 2.5, which means they're not just scoring but also sharing the ball effectively.

Defensive Prowess

The Aces are not just about offense; they also average 4.8 blocks and 8.1 steals per game. This balanced approach has been a key to their success and makes them difficult to beat.

Recent Form

In their last five games, the Aces have been in devastating form, averaging 89.8 points while holding opponents to just 78.1 points. They are 3-0 in their last three games, with the smallest margin of victory being 18 points.

 

Dallas Wings: The Dynamic Underdogs

Season Highlights

The Wings have had a respectable season, ending with a 22-18 record. They've been decent on the road, with an 11-9 record. Arike Ogunbowale, who averages 21.2 PPG, is the star player for the Wings. Another standout player is Satou Sabally, who chips in with 18.6 PPG and 8.1 RPG.

Offensive Strengths

Dallas Wings have a noteworthy offensive lineup, scoring an average of 87.9 points with a 44.3% FG. They are also the Western Conference leaders in rebounding, averaging 38.7 RPG, led by Natasha Howard's 8.0.

Defensive Capabilities

While not as dominant as the Aces on defense, the Wings are no pushovers, averaging 4.3 blocks and 7.6 steals per game. Their recent form has been good, with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games and an average score of 92.3 points.

Injuries to Consider

It's crucial to note that both teams have key injuries. For the Aces, Candace Parker and Riquna Williams are out. For the Wings, Lou Lopez Senechal and Diamond DeShields are sidelined. However, the core offensive players are fit and should be firing on all cylinders.

 

Prediction: 

Both the Aces and the Wings have high-scoring offenses. If we combine their season average points, we get 180.7, which is already above the over/under line set at 175.5.

Over the last 5 games, both teams have exceeded their season averages, with the Aces scoring 89.8 and the Wings at 92.3. This upward trend in scoring suggests that we can expect a high-scoring game.

Both teams have their offensive stars fit and ready. For the Aces, A'ja Wilson has been on fire, and for the Wings, Arike Ogunbowale is in top form.

Based on both teams' high-scoring nature, recent form, and the health of key offensive players, taking the over of 175.5 total points looks like the best bet for this matchup.

 

Pick: Over 175.5 pts

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