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Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins MLB Picks, Odds & Predictions

Compare Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins MLB picks, sportsbook odds, betting splits, and matchup news for Wed, Aug 19, 2026, 10:05 PM UTC. Check every price again before first pitch.

MLB ranked picks

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Wednesday, Aug 19 · 10:05 PM

2 ranked experts

Only ranked experts with winning MLB records are shown.

Kingpin Edge

Best bet by market

Full analysis

Moneyline

MODEL PICK Philadelphia Phillies

Win chance
58%
Break-even
55%
Return / $100
+$5.50

Spread

MODEL PICK Philadelphia Phillies -1.5

Win chance
38.5%
Break-even
37.6%
Return / $100
+$2.40

Over / Under

BEST PRICE Over 5.5 +1020 at DraftKings

Win chance
10.7%
Break-even
8.9%
Return / $100
+$20.09

SHOP THE LINE

Sportsbook odds

Updated Aug 20, 12:50 AM

Spread

SportsbookOdds
BetMGM
Philadelphia Phillies -2.5-1400Miami Marlins +2.5+725
BetRivers
Philadelphia Phillies -2.5-3335Miami Marlins +2.5+750
Bovada
Philadelphia Phillies -2.5-2000Miami Marlins +2.5+900
Caesars
Philadelphia Phillies -2.5-2000Miami Marlins +2.5+900
DraftKings
Philadelphia Phillies -2.5-3800Miami Marlins +2.5+1020BEST
Fanatics
Philadelphia Phillies -2.5-1100BESTMiami Marlins +2.5+575
FanDuel
Philadelphia Phillies -2.5-1600Miami Marlins +2.5+680

Over / Under

SportsbookOdds
BetMGM
Under 5.5-1400Over 5.5+700
BetRivers
Under 5.5-3335Over 5.5+750
Bovada
Under 5.5-2500Over 5.5+1000
Caesars
Under 5.5-2000Over 5.5+900
DraftKings
Under 5.5-3800Over 5.5+1020BEST
Fanatics
Under 5.5-1100BESTOver 5.5+575
FanDuel
Under 5.5-1600Over 5.5+680

BETTING SPLITS

Kingpin public money

Over / Under

3 picks
Under66.7% picks
96.3% money
Over33.3% picks
3.7% money

MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Why each team can win

5 reasons Miami Marlins can win

  1. Miami Marlins +2.5 has a 10.8% no-vig market chance in the run line, with a best price of +1020 at DraftKings.
  2. Sandy Alcantara is the probable starter with a 3.46 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.
  3. Their season record is 64-64 (50% wins).
  4. 9 hitters are listed in the confirmed lineup, led by Heriberto Hernández with 18 home runs.
  5. Miami Marlins gets the first chance to score as the road team.

5 reasons Philadelphia Phillies can win

  1. Philadelphia Phillies -2.5 has a 89.2% no-vig market chance in the run line, with a best price of -1100 at Fanatics.
  2. Aaron Nola is the probable starter with a 5.12 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.
  3. Their season record is 70-58 (54.7% wins).
  4. 9 hitters are listed in the confirmed lineup, led by Kyle Schwarber with 37 home runs.
  5. Philadelphia Phillies has the last at-bat as the home team.

MLB LINEUPS

Starting lineups

Final
MIA probable pitcherSandy Alcantara13-8 · 3.46 ERA · 1.18 WHIP
PHI probable pitcherAaron Nola5-9 · 5.12 ERA · 1.42 WHIP
MIA

Miami Marlins

CONFIRMED
  1. 1
    Jakob MarseeCF · Bats L
    AVG .205
  2. 2
    Otto LopezSS · Bats R
    AVG .308
  3. 3
    Xavier Edwards2B · Bats S
    AVG .288
  4. 4
    Griffin Conine1B · Bats L
    AVG .272
  5. 5
    Heriberto HernándezLF · Bats R
    AVG .229
  6. 6
    Owen CaissieDH · Bats L
    AVG .222
  7. 7
    Esteury RuizRF · Bats R
    AVG .250
  8. 8
    Joe MackC · Bats L
    AVG .236
  9. 9
    Javier Sanoja3B · Bats R
    AVG .278
PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

CONFIRMED
  1. 1
    Kyle SchwarberDH · Bats L
    AVG .244
  2. 2
    Trea TurnerSS · Bats R
    AVG .248
  3. 3
    Derek HillRF · Bats R
    AVG .236
  4. 4
    Luis Arraez2B · Bats L
    AVG .319
  5. 5
    Alec Bohm1B · Bats R
    AVG .242
  6. 6
    Bryson Stott3B · Bats L
    AVG .264
  7. 7
    Brandon MarshLF · Bats L
    AVG .274
  8. 8
    Justin CrawfordCF · Bats L
    AVG .270
  9. 9
    Garrett StubbsC · Bats L
    AVG .159
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Simulated picks for entertainment. Historical results do not guarantee future outcomes.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins preview

Miami Marlins visit Philadelphia Phillies in this MLB matchup. Scheduled for Wed, Aug 19, 2026, 10:05 PM UTC. Compare the starting pitchers, confirmed batting orders, bullpen workload, moneyline, run line, and total.

Best odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Shop the moneyline, spread, and total for Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins. The green BEST tag marks the strongest price for each side. A half-point or a better price can change the value of the bet.

Public money and expert picks

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