Kingpin analysis

MLB Best Bets and Player Props for July 23, 2025

MLB Best Bets and Player Props for July 23, 2025

 

MLB Best Bets and Player Props for July 23, 2025

 

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Pick: Yankees ML (-145)

Analysis: Max Fried has been a dominant force for the Yankees with an 11-3 record and a 2.43 ERA. Chris Bassitt has been solid, but the Yankees’ lineup should give Fried enough run support.

Player Prop: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases

Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals

Pick: Reds ML (-145)

Analysis: Lodolo's consistency (3.33 ERA) gives Cincinnati the edge over Soroka, who’s struggled with a 5.10 ERA.

Player Prop: Elly De La Cruz to steal a base (+300)

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins

Pick: Padres ML (-145)

Analysis: Despite Dylan Cease’s rocky season, the Marlins’ Sandy Alcantara has an inflated ERA of 7.14. Expect San Diego’s offense to shine.

Player Prop: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 HR

San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves

Pick: Braves ML (-175)

Analysis: Spencer Strider is far more reliable than Verlander at this point. Atlanta at home is a solid bet.

Player Prop: Ronald Acuña Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Pick: Tigers ML (-160)

Analysis: Detroit has the better team overall and should take care of business with Melton on the mound.

Player Prop: Riley Greene Over 1.5 Total Bases

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets

Pick: Mets ML

Analysis: Manaea’s 2.45 ERA is impressive, and he should handle the Angels, especially at Citi Field.

Player Prop: Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases

Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs

Pick: Cubs ML

Analysis: Cubs are dominant at home, and Rea has been reliable with an 8-3 record.

Player Prop: Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+400)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies

Pick: Cardinals ML (-160)

Analysis: Colorado continues to be the worst team in the league, and Pallante should outpitch Freeland.

Player Prop: Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Pick: Astros ML

Analysis: Framber Valdez may not be on the mound, but Walter should be able to handle Arizona’s inconsistent offense.

Player Prop: Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 HR

Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners

Pick: Mariners ML (-135)

Analysis: Luis Castillo at home is a good value play, especially facing a Brewers team that can go cold offensively.

Player Prop: Julio Rodríguez to steal a base

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Pick: Dodgers ML (-240)

Analysis: Glasnow is the better pitcher, and the Dodgers have the better lineup. Good parlay piece.

Player Prop: Mookie Betts Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians

Pick: Guardians ML (-130)

Analysis: Cecconi has been reliable, while Morton continues to struggle.

Player Prop: Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Total Bases

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

Pick: Phillies ML (-155)

Analysis: Luzardo has the edge here and the Phillies are playing strong at home.

Player Prop: Bryce Harper Over 0.5 HR

Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Pick: Rays ML (-200)

Analysis: Bradley vs Cannon favors the Rays, especially at home.

Player Prop: Yandy Díaz Over 1.5 Total Bases

Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers

Pick: Rangers ML

Analysis: Sears has struggled and the Rangers should have the offensive edge at home.

Player Prop: Corey Seager Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Kingpin PRO

Follow ranked bettors with tracked cards

This article is free analysis. PRO unlocks today’s verified bettor inventory and alerts.

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

Kingpin PRO

Continue with Kingpin PRO

Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.

Kingpin PROUnlock ranked bettor cards
Start free trial