Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 14 (7/14): MLB

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 14 (7/14): MLB

Credit: photo by Rick Osentoskie-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Tigers money line -240
Tigers run line -1.5 (-120)
Guardians money line +195
Guardians run line +1.5 (+100)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Detroit Tigers Cleveland Guardians
Record 37-52 43-44
Road / home record 15-28 22-19
Last 10 record 5-5 3-7
Streak L1 L2
Over / under record 31-53-5 40-42-5
Runs / game 3.18 4.26
Runs allowed / game 4.27 4.38

Preview

The Detroit Tigers visit the Cleveland Guardians to play a 4-game series at the Progressive Field. The Guardians tied their last series against the White Sox while the Tigers lost it against the Royals. So far this season, the Tigers have dominated the Guardians and are 7-1 in the last 8 head to head games.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 37-52 record and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 3.18 runs and batting for .230 AVG, 283 runs scored in 672 hits and 52 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .287 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 9 and 35 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.27 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 4.11 ERA, 102 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: Elvin Rodriguez (0-2, 11.51 ERA)

Rodriguez will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Tigers. Rodriguez will return to the major league club for the first time since being optioned to Toledo in the middle of June after posting 11.21 and 1.81 WHIP over a four-game stretch in the Tigers rotation. He has not allowed any runs on 2 hits with 4 strikeouts in 4 innings versus the Guardians in his career.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 43-44 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.26 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 371 runs scored in 726 hits and 66 home runs, ranking #18 in offense, the second worst in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .290 avg, 17 home runs and 68 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.38 runs per game and ranking #19 in the league. Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 3.24 ERA, 104 strikeouts and 4 wins recorded for the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher:  Triston McKenzie (6-6, 3.47 ERA)

Triston McKenzie will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Guardians. With six scoreless innings and three hits, five walks, and four strikeouts, McKenzie earned the win in Saturday's 13-1 victory over Kansas City. He has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 1.17 and 37 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Tigers in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Detroit Tigers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Detroit Tigers are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

Cleveland Guardians are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Guardians struggled offensively in their last 2 games of the series against the White Sox scoring only 1 run in both games. They have been dominated by the Tigers this season as they have won only 1 of the last 8 head to head this season. Triston McKenzie will be the starting pitcher for this game and he has dominated the Tigers in his career holding a 1.17 ERA against them. The Tigers have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are the worst offense in the league averaging 3.1 runs per game. Elvin Rodriguez will get the ball and he was destroyed in his last 2 starts in the majors allowing 8 and 10 runs but he did well against the Guardians earlier this season holkding them to zero runs across 4 innings pitched. Expect a low scoring game as both offenses have been bad lately, take the under.

PICK:  Under 8.5 (-110)

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