Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 28 (6/28): MLB

Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 28 (6/28): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +105
Pirates run line +1.5 (-180)
Nationals money line -125
Nationals run line -1.5 (+155)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Pittsburgh Pirates  Washington Nationals
Record 29-44 28-48
Road / home record 12-24 13-26
Last 10 record 4-6 5-5
Streak L3 W3
Over / under record 30-37-6 39-34-3
Runs / game 3.65 4.03
Runs allowed / game 5.03 5.51

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the Pittsburgh Pirates will play the second game of the series at the Nationals Park on Tuesday. The Nationals took the win 3-2 in the first game of the series on Monday. Erick Fedde allowed two runs in five innings and struck out four while Maikel Franco hit a go-ahead, two-run home run in the eighth inning to help the Nats to take the win. The Pirates are still 3-2 against the Nationals this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 29-44 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.6 runs per game. They're batting for .220 AVG, 263 runs scored in 517 hits and 73 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Kansas City Royals. Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting for .259 AVG and has 21 RBI. Bryan Reynolds leads in home runs with 12 and Michael Chavis is leading the team in RBI's with 25.

Defensively they are allowing 5 runs per game and ranking #25 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.14 ERA, 76 strikeouts and 1 win with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher: Jose Quintana (1-4, 3.60 ERA)

Quintana will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Pirates. On Thursday, Quintana pitched six innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up two runs on six hits, one walk, and six strikeouts. He did not factor in the decision. He has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 7.88 and 5 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Nationals in his career.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 28-48 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4 runs per game but allowing 5.5 runs. They're batting for .252 AVG, 302 runs scored in 635 hits and 59 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Josh Bell has a batting average of .308, 11 home runs and 46 RBI. Juan Soto leads the team in home runs with 14.

Defensively they are allowing 5.5 runs per game and ranking #30, the worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 3.82 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:  Patrick Corbin (3-10, 6.60 ERA)

Corbin will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Nationals. Corbin took the loss against the Orioles on Wednesday, allowing three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out six. He has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.14 and 65 strikeouts in 11 appearances against the Pirates in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League East Division division.

Washington Nationals are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games.

Washington Nationals are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Prediction

The Pirates continue to struggle offensively as they scored only 2 runs in the first of the series. They'll send Jose Quintana as a starter for this game who has allowed 15 runs in his last 5 starts and the Pirates are 7-7 with him on the mound this season. The Nationals have won 5 of their last 7 games but they have lost 12 of Corbin's 15 starts this season. Despite the Pirates struggles lately I think this is a great spot for them to bounce back and get a win as Corbin has been pounded all season. Take the Pirates with the plus money.

PICK: Pirates ML (+105)

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