Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28) MLB

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28) MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Braves money line -210
Braves run line -1.5 (-130)
Nationals money line +170
Nationals run line +1.5 (+110)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  Washington Nationals
Record 96-58 53-101
Road / home record 45-32 24-52
Last 10 record 7-3 3-7
Streak W4 L2
Over / under record 78-70-8 71-74-9
Runs / game 4.96 3.86
Runs allowed / game 3.80 5.20

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves will play the 3rd game series at the Nationals Park. The Braves outscored the Nats 8-2 in the second game of the series and are 14-4 against them this season.

 

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 97-58 record and have won 7 their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.96 runs per game. They're batting for .254 AVG, 746 runs scored in 1321 hits and 227 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 37 home runs and 92 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .280. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.50 ERA, 167 strikeouts and 20 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Jake Odorizzi (5-6, 4.61 ERA)

Odorizzi will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Braves. Odorizzi took the loss in Friday's 9-1 rout at the hands of the Phillies, surrendering eight runs on 10 hits and three walks over four innings. He struck out six.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 53-101 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.86 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 577 runs scored in 1279 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 9 home runs and 23 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.20 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.17 ERA, 152 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:  Josiah Gray (7-10, 5.17 ERA)

Gray will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Nationals. Gray took the loss Friday, giving up four runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings as the Nationals were downed 5-2 by the Marlins. He struck out three. He  has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 2.25 and 21 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Braves in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games against Washington.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games on the road.

Atlanta are 16-1 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Washington.

Washington are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against Atlanta.

Washington are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Nationals have struggled at home this season as they're winning only the 31% of the time and have lost 16 of the last 17 at home vs Braves. Gray will start for the Nationals who has struggled lately allowing 4 or more runs in each of his last 4 starts. The Braves clinched a playoff spot but will continue fighting for the division title with the Mets. Jake Odorizzi will start for the Braves who has been struggling all season and got rocked in his last start vs Phillies. Expect another high scoring game as the Braves are on fire offensively right now and the Nats should get some runs from Odorizzi. Over is the play.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110) 

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