Twins vs Astros Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/7

Twins vs Astros Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/7

© Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins

Get ready for an exciting matchup as the Houston Astros visit the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Both teams are looking to solidify their positions in their respective divisions, making this game crucial for both sides.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: July 7, 2024
  • Time: 11:10 AM
  • Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Line: MIN -130
  • Over/Under: 8.5

Team Breakdown:

Houston Astros:

The Houston Astros come into this game with a 46-42 record. They have shown resilience and are looking to maintain their winning streak and improve their standings in the AL West.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/5/24: @ MIN, W 13-12
  • 7/4/24: @ TOR, W 5-3
  • 7/3/24: @ TOR, W 9-2
  • 7/2/24: @ TOR, L 7-6
  • 7/1/24: @ TOR, W 3-1

Injury Report:

  • Chris Gittens (1B): 7-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Jayden Murray (SP): 7-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Jose Altuve (2B): Day-to-Day, expected return July 7
  • Rhett Kouba (SP): 7-Day IL, expected return July 10
  • Jairo Solis (SP): 7-Day IL, expected return July 10

Pitching Analysis:

Spencer Arrighetti will start for the Astros, with a 4-7 record and a 6.13 ERA. Arrighetti has struggled this season, particularly with control and consistency, which could pose a challenge against the Twins' strong lineup.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Kyle Tucker (19 HR)
  • Batting Average: Jose Altuve (.310 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Yordan Alvarez (50 RBI)

With key players like Kyle Tucker and Jose Altuve, the Astros' offense has the capability to put up runs, but they will need consistent pitching to support their efforts.

Minnesota Twins:

The Minnesota Twins, with a 49-39 record, are looking to bounce back after a tough loss. They aim to leverage their home-field advantage to secure a win and maintain their position in the AL Central.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/5/24: vs HOU, L 13-12
  • 7/4/24: vs DET, W 12-3 (F/7)
  • 7/3/24: vs DET, L 9-2
  • 7/2/24: vs DET, W 5-3
  • 6/30/24: @ SEA, W 5-3

Injury Report:

  • Chris Paddack (SP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 8
  • Brock Stewart (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 20
  • Zack Weiss (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 20
  • Justin Topa (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 26
  • Royce Lewis (3B): 10-Day IL, expected return July 29

Pitching Analysis:

Simeon Woods Richardson will start for the Twins, with a 3-1 record and a 3.52 ERA. Woods Richardson has been effective on the mound, showing good control and the ability to limit opposing offenses.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Ryan Jeffers (14 HR)
  • Batting Average: Carlos Correa (.307 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Ryan Jeffers (46 RBI)

With Carlos Correa and Ryan Jeffers leading the way, the Twins' offense has the potential to score heavily and support their pitching staff.

Head to Head Record:

The Astros currently lead the season series 1-0 against the Twins. The previous game was as follows:

  • 7/5: Astros 13, Twins 12

Game Odds:

Team ML Total Spread
HOU (46-42) +110 o8.5 (-120) +1.5 (-180)
MIN (49-39) -130 u8.5 (EVEN) -1.5 (+150)

Prediction:

For this matchup, we're predicting a victory for the Minnesota Twins on the money line (ML). Here's why:

Simeon Woods Richardson has been a reliable starter for the Twins, with a 3-1 record and a 3.52 ERA. His consistent performance gives the Twins a significant advantage on the mound, especially against Spencer Arrighetti, who has struggled this season.

The Twins have a strong lineup led by Carlos Correa and Ryan Jeffers, who have consistently driven in runs and provided the necessary offensive support. This potent lineup will be crucial against the Astros.

Given the Twins' overall performance and Woods Richardson's reliability on the mound, we expect the Twins to secure a win.

Pick: Minnesota Twins ML

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