Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 30 (6/30): MLB

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 30 (6/30): MLB

Credit: photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:07 p.m. EST
Rays money line +134
Rays run line +1.5 (-150)
Blue Jays money line -160
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays
Record 40-34 42-33
Road / home record 15-17 23-15
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak L2 L1
Over / under record 33-37-4 41-33-1
Runs / game 4.03 4.73
Runs allowed / game 3.82 4.39

 

Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Tampa Bay Rays will meet again to play a 5-game series at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won their last series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 while the Rays lost the 2 games of the short series against the Milwaukee Brewers. These teams met in Tampa Bay earlier this season and the Rays won the series 2-1.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get to this game with a 40-34 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4 runs. They're batting for .234 AVG, 398 runs scored in 577 hits and 67 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Ji-Man Choi leads the team, batting for a .289 avg with 6 home runs and 35 RBI. Isaac Paredes has 10 home runs for the Rays. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.82 runs per game and rank #5 in the league. Shane McClanahan leads the team with a 1.77 ERA, 123 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:

Matt Wisler (2-2, 2.83 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rays in the 1st game of the series. Although Jeffrey Springs was originally scheduled to start Thursday's game, the Rays will instead use Wisler as the starter, followed by a bulk reliever. Wisler has a 2.83 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 35 innings this season in 31 appearances (three starts).

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 42-32 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game and they're batting for .257 AVG, have 357 runs scored in 656 hits and 99 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .268 ERA, 46 RBI and 18 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .325 AVG.

They have struggled defensively as they are allowing 4.3 runs per game and rank #20 in the league. Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.05 ERA and 79 strikeouts recording 9 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:

Yusei Kikuchi (2-4, 5.08 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 1st game of the series. On Saturday against the Brewers, Kikuchi was given the loss after going two innings and giving up five runs on six hits while striking out five and walking one. He is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.38 and 11 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Rays in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Tampa Bay Rays are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Tampa Bay Rays are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games against Tampa Bay.

The total has gone OVER in 14 of Toronto's last 16 games at home.

Prediction

The Rays have struggled against the top teams this season and they are only beating the bottom ranked. They'll face a hot offense like the Blue Jays who is scoring 6.5 runs per game in the last 10 games. Yisei Kikuchi will start for Toronto and he has been up and down this season but has dominated the Rays in his career holding a 1.38 ERA against them. The Rays will have a bullpen day who is one of the best in the league with a 3.18 ERA. In the last series between these two teams, the total went under in all of the 3 games and I expect another low scoring with the Rays going with the bullpen. Take the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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