Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 3 (7/3): MLB

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 3 (7/3): MLB

Credit: photo by Nick Turchiar-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:37 p.m. EST
Rays money line +113
Rays run line +1.5 (-180)
Blue Jays money line -135
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+155)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays
Record 42-36 44-35
Road / home record 17-19 25-17
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 36-38-4 44-34-1
Runs / game 4.03 4.73
Runs allowed / game 3.82 4.39

 

Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Tampa Bay Rays will play the 5th game of the series at the Rogers Centre on Sunday. The Rays won both games of the Saturday's double-header to tie the series 2-2 and are 4-3 against the Blue Jays so far this season.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get to this game with a 42-36 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4 runs. They're batting for .234 AVG, 398 runs scored in 577 hits and 67 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Ji-Man Choi leads the team, batting for a .289 avg with 6 home runs and 35 RBI. Isaac Paredes has 10 home runs for the Rays. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.82 runs per game and rank #5 in the league. Shane McClanahan allowed one run in seven innings and earned the win in the 3rd game of the series against the Bleu Jays. He leads the team with a 1.74 ERA, 133 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded for the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:

Shane Baz (0-1, 3.38 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rays in the 5th game of the series. Baz pitched 5.2 innings on Tuesday, giving up a run on three hits, two walks, and six strikeouts. He did not factor in the decision of the 5-3 defeat to Milwaukee. He has allowed 2 runs on 2 hits with 5 strikeouts in 5 innings against the Blue Jays in his career. He has been credited with the win.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 44-34 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game and they're batting for .257 AVG, have 357 runs scored in 656 hits and 99 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .268 ERA, 46 RBI and 18 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .325 AVG.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.3 runs per game and rank #20 in the league. Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.05 ERA and 79 strikeouts recording 9 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:

Ross Stripling (4-2, 3.12 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 5th game of the series. Tuesday, Stripling pitched five innings and had three strikeouts while giving up two runs, five hits, and a walk. He did not factor in the decision of the 6-5 victory over Boston. He has a 0-2 record with an ERA of 3.80 and 23 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Rays in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Tampa Bay Rays are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 14 games.

The total has gone OVER in 17 of Toronto's last 20 games at home.

Prediction

The Rays bounced back Saturday and won both games of the double-header with great pitching performances from Mclanahan and Rasmussen. They'll now send Shane Baz to try to close this series with a win. Baz has been sharp lately allowing only 2 runs in his last 16.1 innings pitched. The Blue Jays will send Ross Strippling to the mound who's also doing a great job this season and the BLue Jays have won in 4 of his last 5 starts. I expect both starters to have goos performances and slow down the offenses. Take the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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