Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 31 (7/31): MLB

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 31 (7/31): MLB

Credit: photo by Gerry Angus-USA TODAY Sports



Time 12:05 p.m. EST
Blue Jays money line -357
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (-140)
Tigers money line +230
Tigers run line +1.5 (+120)
Over / under 9


Key stats

  Detroit Tigers Toronto Blue Jays
Record 41-61 56-45
Home / road record 16-34 33-21
Last 10 record 4-6 8-2
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 38-58-6 53-46-1
Runs / game 3.23 4.89
Runs allowed / game 4.41 4.32



The Detroit Tigers and the Toronto Blue Jays will play the 4th game of the series at the Rogers Centre on Sunday. The Blue Jays bounced back and beat the Tigers 5-3 in the 3rd game of the series.Teoscar Hernández hit a go-ahead, three-run home run in the sixth inning and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scored twice.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 41-61 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 3.23 runs and batting for .229 AVG, 320 runs scored in 746 hits and 59 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .287 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 9 and 38 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.41 runs per game and ranking #19 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 3.67 ERA, 113 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Garrett Hill (1-2, 5.57 ERA) will be on the mound for the Tigers in the 3rd game of the series. Hill was returned to Triple-A Toledo after he served as the Tigers' 27th man and starting pitcher in the second game of their doubleheader last Thursday with the Athletics, but Detroit brought him back from the minors this week after fellow starter Rony Garcia (biceps) was moved to the injured list. In a no-decision Tuesday game against the Padres, the rookie struggled, pitching five innings while giving up three earned runs on five hits and four walks.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 56-45 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.89 runs per game and they're batting for .267 AVG, have 479 runs scored in 900 hits and 127 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the LA Dodgers. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .282 ERA, 62 RBI and 21 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .317 AVG.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.32 runs per game and rank #17 in the league. All-Star Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.24 ERA and 110 strikeouts recording 11 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:

Jose Berrios (7-4, 5.20 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 4th game of the series. In Tuesday's victory over the Cardinals, Berrios pitched 5.2 innings, giving up three runs on seven hits, two walks, and seven strikeouts. He did not factor in the decision. He is 6-2 with an ERA of 4.80 and 64 strikeouts in 13 appearances versus the Tigers in his career.


The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto.

Detroit are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games against Detroit.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home.


The Tigers have struggled on the road and have now lost 11 of their last 14 games away and are 2-4 vs Blue Jays this season. For this game the Tigers will send Garrett Hill to the mound who has only 4 starts this season and the Tigers have lost in 3 of them. Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays who has done a decent job this season but he has been hittable although he allowed only 1 run across 8 innings the last time he faced the Tigers. I expect a high scoring game as both starters have high ERA's so take the over. 

PICK: Over 9 (-110)

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