Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 7 (5/7): MLB

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 7 (5/7): MLB

Credit: photo by Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 2:10 p.m. EST
Blue Jays money line -131
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+130)
Guardians money line +121
Guardians run line +1.5 (-150)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Toronto Blue Jays Cleveland Guardians 
Record 16-11 12-13
Road / home record 6-5 5-4
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak L1 W2
Over / under record 9-17-1 15-10
Runs / game 3.78 4.68
Runs allowed / game 4.07 4.36

 

Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Cleveland Guardians will play the 2nd game of the series at the Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians beat the Blue Jays on Thursday 6-5. 

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 16-11 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.8 runs while allowing 4 runs per game. Vladimir Guerrero leads the team with .290 ERA, 17 RBI and 7 home runs. 

Alek Manoah has 4 wins for the Guardians holding a 1.45 ERA and 32 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Kevin Gausman (2-1, 2.27 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 2nd game of the series. Gausman allowed two runs on six hits and no walks while striking out 10 in seven innings to earn the win over the Astros on Sunday. On his last 3 starts against Cleveland he has a 2.22 ERA and 24 strikeouts across 20 innings.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 12-13 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.68 runs per game and allowing 4.36 runs. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .315 avg, 7 home runs and 29 RBI. 

Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with 1 win and a 2.45 ERA, he has struck out 29 batters.

Probable Pitcher: Shane Bieber (1-1, 2.45 ERA)

Bieber will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Guardians. Bieber didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 3-1 win over the Athletics, allowing one run on seven hits and a walk over seven innings. He struck out seven. He threw 9 scoreless innings and struck out 10 the last time he faced Cleveland in 2019.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Toronto's last 17 games on the road.

Toronto are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

Cleveland are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home.

Prediction

Both teams can hit the ball hard but 2 great pitchers will take the mound so don't expect a lot of runs in this game. Bieber held Cleveland to zero runs across 9 innings the last time he faced them and Gausman has good number against the Blue Jays. With that being said I think the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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