Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 28 (6/28): MLB

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 28 (6/28): MLB

Credit: photo by John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:07 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line +117
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-165)
Blue Jays money line -140
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+140)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays
Record 42-32 41-32
Road / home record 22-16 22-14
Last 10 record 8-2 4-6
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 28-37-9 39-33-1
Runs / game 4.76 4.73
Runs allowed / game 3.93 4.31

 

Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox will play the second game of the series at the Rogers Centre on Tuesday night. The Blue Jays took the win 7-2 in the first of the series. Kevin Gausman dominated the Red Sox through 7 innings holding them to zero runs. Vladimir Guerrero hit his 18th home run of the season, Matt Chapman also homered twice, and George Springer added a solo shot and Toronto improved to 6-2 against Boston this season.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get to this game with a 42-32 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs. They're batting for .261 AVG, 351 runs scored in 659 hits and 70 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the San Francisco Giants. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 17 home runs and 45 RBI, batting for .333 AVG while Trevor Story leads in RBI's with 51. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.9 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 8 wins recorded with a 3.25 ERA and 86 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Michael Wacha (6-1, 2.34 ERA) will be on the mound for the Red Sox in the 2nd game of the series. Wacha took the win in the game against the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday, pitching six innings and allowing two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out seven. He has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 3.91 and 21 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Blue Jays in his career.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 41-32 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game and they're batting for .255 AVG, have 339 runs scored in 623 hits and 95 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .268 ERA, 45 RBI and 18 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .322 AVG.

They have struggled defensively as they are allowing 4.3 runs per game and rank #20 in the league. Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.05 ERA and 79 strikeouts recording 9 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:

Ross Stripling (4-2, 3.08 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 2nd game of the series. In six innings of work against the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday, Stripling earned the win after allowing one run on five hits, five strikeouts, and one walk. He has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 6.52 and 31 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Boston Red Sox are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

Boston Red Sox  are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games against Boston.

Prediction

The Blue Jays gave a not very nice welcolme to the majors to the Red Sox rookie pitcher Seabold pounding him with 7 runs while the Red Sox were dominated by Kevin Gausman. Michael Wacha will start for Boston who's having a great season and dominated the Blue Jays earlier this season holding them to only 1 run across innings as the Red Sox won that game 7-1 precisely against Ross Stripling who did a great job actually on the game pitching 5 innings while allowing only 1 run as well but he's still holding a 6.52 ERA against the Red Sox in his career. I think we're getting good value with Michael Wacha and the Red Sox as underdogs. Take Boston.

PICK: Red Sox +117 (+110)

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