Tigers vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/25

Tigers vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/25

© Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers

On June 25, 2024, the Philadelphia Phillies will face the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, and offensive leaders.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 25, 2024
  • Time: 3:40 PM
  • Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
  • Weather: 84°F, Clear

Team Breakdown:

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Philadelphia Phillies enter this game with a 51-26 record, including a 20-14 record on the road. They are leading the National League East and have shown strong form recently.

Pitching:

Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies. Suarez boasts a stellar 10-1 record with a 1.75 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over 92.1 innings pitched. His exceptional performance on the mound has been a key factor in the Phillies' success.

Recent Performance:

The Phillies have won three of their last five games, maintaining their position at the top of the division.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Bryce Harper (18 HR)
  • Batting Average: Alec Bohm (.304 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (61 RBI)

The Phillies have dealt with injuries to players such as Edmundo Sosa, Yunior Marte, Michael Rucker, Kody Clemens, and Griff McGarry, but their depth has allowed them to stay competitive.

Detroit Tigers:

The Detroit Tigers have a 36-41 record, including an 18-20 record at home. They are currently fourth in the American League Central and have had mixed results recently.

Pitching:

Tarik Skubal will start for the Tigers. Skubal has an 8-3 record with a 2.50 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 90.0 innings pitched. His solid performance on the mound provides stability for the Tigers.

Recent Performance:

The Tigers have won three of their last five games, showing potential to compete strongly despite their position in the standings.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Riley Greene (15 HR)
  • Batting Average: Riley Greene (.261 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Riley Greene (40 RBI)

The Tigers have dealt with injuries to players such as Alex Faedo, Jace Jung, Jackson Jobe, Javier Baez, and Kerry Carpenter, which have impacted their overall performance.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
PHI (51-26) -125 o7.5 (-115) -1.5 (+135)
DET (36-41) +105 u7.5 (-105) +1.5 (-160)

Prediction:

Considering the pitching matchups and recent performances of both teams, the pick for this game is the under 7.5 runs. Here’s why:

  • Strong Starting Pitching: Both Ranger Suarez and Tarik Skubal have been performing exceptionally well this season, with low ERAs and WHIPs, indicating a potential low-scoring game.
  • Offensive Consistency: While both teams have capable offenses, their recent performances suggest they might struggle against the strong pitching they will face in this game.
  • Injury Impact: Injuries to key offensive players on both teams could limit their scoring potential, contributing to a lower-scoring game.
  • Ballpark Factor: Comerica Park is known to be a pitcher-friendly ballpark, which can suppress run totals and favor the under.

Given these factors, betting on the game to go under 7.5 runs is a strong pick based on the dominant starting pitching, potential offensive struggles, and the ballpark's characteristics.

Pick: Under 7.5 Runs

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