Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 19 (9/19): MLB

Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 19 (9/19): MLB

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Rays money line -120
Rays run line -1.5 (+180)
Astros money line +100
Astros run line +1.5 (-220)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Tampa Bay Rays  Houston Astros
Record 82-64 96-51
Home / road record 49-25 46-28
Last 10 record 4-6 8-2
Streak W2 W1
Over / under record 66-71-9 54-83-10
Runs / game 4.23 4.52
Runs allowed / game 3.74 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros will visit the Tampa Bay Rays to play a 3-game series at the Tropicana Field. The Astros won their last series against the A's and the Rays beat the Rangers 2 of 3 times at home.

 

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get here with a 82-64 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.23 runs per game. They're batting for .242 AVG, 614 runs scored in 1181 hits and 128 home runs, ranking #18 in offense in the league behind the Chicago White Sox. Randy Arozarena leads the team in home runs with 19 and 79 RBI while Yandy Diaz is batting for .295.

Defensively they are allowing 3.74 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Shane McClanahan leads the pitching staff with a 2.13 ERA, 187 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded with the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:  Drew Rasmussen (10-5, 2.77 ERA)

Rasmussen will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Rays. Rasmussen took the loss Wednesday, allowing four runs on six hits and one walk over four innings in a 5-1 loss against the Blue Jays. He struck out one. He has not allowed any runs on 1 hit with 2 strikeouts in 5 innings versus the Astros in his career. He has been credited with the win.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 96-51 record and have won 7 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 662 runs scored in 1200 hits and 196 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 93 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.78 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 17 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Luis Garcia (12-8, 4.04 ERA)

Garcia will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Astros. Garcia earned the win Sunday, allowing three runs on eight hits and no walks over five innings against the Angels. He struck out four.  He has allowed 3 runs on 5 hits with 7 strikeouts in 7 innings versus the Rays in his career

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against Tampa Bay.

Houston are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

Houston are 4-12 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against Houston.

Tampa Bay are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Astros have already clinched a playoff spot while the Rays are in the fight for the wild card with the Blue Jays and are one game below them. Luis Garcia will start for the Astros who hasn't been that great this season and has allowed at least 3 runs in 7 of his last 8 starts. Drew Rasmussen will start for the Rays who struggled in his last start but dominated the Astros the last time he faced them pitching 5 scoreless innings. The Rays have dominated the Astros at home and have more pressure to win every game than them so go with the Rays to win the first of the series at home.

PICK: Rays ML (-120)

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