Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 14 (7/14): MLB

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 14 (7/14): MLB

Credit: photo by Jonathan Dye-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Rays money line -130
Rays run line -1.5 (+160)
Red Sox money line +108
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-185)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Tampa Bay Rays  Boston Red Sox
Record 48-40 47-42
Home / road record 28-17 24-22
Last 10 record 6-4 3-7
Streak W3 L3
Over / under record 40-44-4 37-43-9
Runs / game 4.11 4.69
Runs allowed / game 3.83 4.15

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays will play the 4th game of the series at the Tropicana Field on Thursday. The Rays took the win again 4-1 and have the lead 3-0 on the series. Taylor Walls homered for the Rays, who have won five straight against the rival Red Sox.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get here with a 48-40 record and have won their last 3 games. The team is averaging 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 350 runs scored in 680 hits and 80 home runs, ranking #22 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Isaac Paredes leads the team in home runs with 13 while Yandy Diaz is batting for .299 and Randy Arozarena is leading in RBI's with 40.

Defensively they are allowing 3.8 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Shane McClanahan (10-3) struck out six and allowed one run in 6 1/3 innings of three-hit ball. He leads the pitching staff with a 1.73 ERA, 147 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:  Drew Rasmussen (5-3, 3.11 ERA)

Rasmussen will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for Tampa Bay. On Saturday, Rasmussen faced Cincinnati and threw four scoreless innings while giving up four hits, two walks, and six strikeouts. He did not factor in the decision. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 2.30 and 14 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 47-42 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .261 AVG, 410 runs scored in 779 hits and 85 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league, behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 19 home runs and 51 RBI, batting for .327 AVG while Trevor Story leads in RBI's with 58. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.15 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 8 wins recorded with a 4.08 ERA and 100 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:  Kutter Crawford 2-2, 4.50 ERA)

Crawford will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Red Sox. The Red Sox plan to wait until Friday's series opener with the Yankees to bring Nathan Eovaldi (back/hip) back from the 15-day injured list, so Crawford will receive one more turn through the rotation as a temporary fifth starter. In his start against the Yankees last weekend, Crawford impressed, going five innings, striking out six batters, giving up one earned run on four hits and two walks, and getting no decision. He has a 1-0 record with an ERA of 0.00 and 13 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Rays in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Boston Red Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games against Boston.

Tampa Bay Rays are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Prediction

The Rays continue to dominate the Red Sox as they have beat them in 7 of the 9 head to head games this season and they will look for the sweep by sending Drew Rasmussen who has had 2 great starts after his return from the injury list and has dominated the Red Sox in his career. The Red Sox will send Kutter Crawford to the mound who has impressed in his last 2 starts this month allowing only 1 run in the last 10.1 innings pitched including the win against the Rays. Expect both starters to dominate the offenses so the play for this game is the under. The Under has cashed in 7 of the last 9 head to head games.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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