San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 21 (8/21): MLB

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 21 (8/21): MLB

Credit: photo by  Ray Acevedo-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Nationals money line +225
Nationals run line +1.5 (+110)
Padres money line -280
Padres run line -1.5 (-130)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Washington Nationals San Diego Padres
Record 41-81 67-56
Road / home record 22-37 34-26
Last 10 record 4-6 5-5
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 60-55-7 56-62-4
Runs / game 3.80 4.43
Runs allowed / game 5.57 4.08

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the San Diego Padres will play the 4th game of the series at the Petco Park on Sunday. The struggling Padres barely beat the Nationals 2-1 in the third game of the series.  Juan Soto and Josh Bell homered against their former team.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 41-81 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.80 runs per game. They're batting for .248 AVG, 429 runs scored in 933 hits and 92 home runs, ranking #27 in offense in the league, behind the Miami Marlins. Luke Voit has a batting average of .235, 14 home runs and 50 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 5.57 runs per game and ranking #30, the worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 4.81 ERA, 127 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:

Patrick Corbin (4-16, 6.96 ERA) will be on the mound for the Nationals in the 4th game of the series. Corbin did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing four runs on six hits and two walks over six innings in the Nationals' extra-innings loss vs the Cubs. He struck out three. He is 7-9 with an ERA of 4.51 and 111 strikeouts in 22 appearances versus the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 67-56 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.43 runs per game and they're batting for .242 AVG, have 505 runs scored in 928 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #15 in offense in the league behind the Houston Astros. Manny Machado is leading the team with 20 home runs and 65 RBI and a batting average of .294.

Defensively they are allowing 4.08 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.91 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Sean Manaea (6-6, 4.86 ERA)

Manaea will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Padres. Manaea allowed three runs on four hits and a walk, striking six in four innings in a 4-3 loss Tuesday in Miami. He did not factor into the decision. He hasn't pitched against the Nats in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Washington are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games.

Washington are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games against Washington.

San Diego are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home..

Prediction

The Padres bounced back and got the narrow victory in the 3rd game of the series and will try to tie this series by sending Sean Manaea to the mound who has struggled this season allowing 3 runs or more in each of his last 3 starts. The Nationals will send Patrick Corbin to the mound who has also been pounded lately allowing 4 or more runs in each of his last 7 starts. Expect a high scoring game as both offenses will score easy against these struggling pitchers. Take the over. 

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)

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