San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 4 (6/4): MLB

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 4 (6/4): MLB

Credit: photo by Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Padres money line +105
Padres run line +1.5 (-185)
Brewers money line -125
Brewers run line -1.5 (+160)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  San Diego Padres Milwaukee Brewers
Record 31-21 33-21
Road / home record 18-11 15-7
Last 10 record 3-7 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 22-28-2 25-26-3
Runs / game 4.14 4.58
Runs allowed / game 3.74 3.85

 

Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres will play the 3rd game of the series at the Petco Park on Saturday. --The Padres dominated the Brewers in the second game of the series beating them 7-0.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 31-21 record and have lost  4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.14 runs per game with a .233 at bat while allowing 3.74 runs. Manny Machado is leading the team with 8 home runs and 29 RBI and a batting average of .346.

Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 1.86 ERA, 58 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:

MacKenzie Gore (3-1, 1.71 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 3rd game of the series. Gore didn't factor into the decision during Sunday's 4-2 win against Pittsburgh, allowing two hits and three walks with nine strikeouts in seven scoreless innings.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 33-21 record and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. They're averaging 4.58 runs while allowing 3.85 runs per game. Rowdy Tellez leads the team with 10 home runs and 36 RBI while Hunter Renfroe is batting for a .266 AVG.

Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 1.95 ERA, 78 strikeouts and 3 wins recorded for the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher: 

Aaron Ashby (1-3, 2.70 ERA) will start for the Brewers in the 2nd game of the series. Ashby allowed a run on five hits and two walks with 12 strikeouts in six innings in Monday's 3-1 win over the Cubs in the second game of a doubleheader. Gore has also been really good this season

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games against Milwaukee.

San Diego are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games against San Diego.

Milwaukee are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games at home.

Prediction

The Brewers were dominated by Joe Musgrove and couldn't score a single run in the game. Milwaukee have won 4 of the 5 Ashby's starts and with the under cashing in 11 of the last 16 head to head games, I think the under is the play. 

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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