San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 4 (8/4): MLB

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 4 (8/4): MLB

Credit: photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +225
Rockies run line +1.5 (+110)
Padres money line -280
Padres run line -1.5 (-130)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres
Record 46-60 60-46
Road / home record 16-33 30-22
Last 10 record 3-7 5-5
Streak L5 W5
Over / under record 49-51-6 47-55-3
Runs / game 4.52 4.36
Runs allowed / game 5.31 3.26

 

Preview

The Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres will play the 5th game of the series at the Petco Park on Thursday. The Rockies were outscored again by the Padres 9-1 and are 0-4 in the series. Brandon Drury hit a grand slam on the first pitch he saw with his new team.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies get here with a 46-60 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game and they're batting for .261 AVG, have 466 runs scored in 923 hits and 93 home runs, ranking #13 in offense in the league behind the Minnesota Twins. CJ Cron is leading the team with 22 home runs and 71 RBI and a batting average of .277.

Defensively they are allowing 5.31 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. German Marquez leads the pitching staff with a 5.29 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded for the Rockies.

Probable Pitcher:

Kyle Freeland (6-7, 4.63 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rockies in the 5th game of the series. Freeland earned the win over the Dodgers on Saturday. He allowed three runs on six hits and hit one batter while striking out six and walking none in six innings. He has a 5-5 record with an ERA of 4.30 and 65 strikeouts in 18 appearances versus the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 60-46 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.36 runs per game and they're batting for .240 AVG, have 449 runs scored in 835 hits and 89 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Manny Machado is leading the team with 18 home runs and 57 RBI and a batting average of .293.

Defensively they are allowing 4.07 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.65 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Joe Musgrove (8-4, 2.65 ERA)

Musgrove will be on the mound in the 5th game of the series for the Padres. Musgrove took the loss on Saturday game against the Twins allowing 2 runs on 4 hits and 2 walks across 6 innings pitched. He struck out eight. He has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 2.13 and 47 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Rockies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Colorado are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games against Colorado.

San Diego Padres are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Prediction

The Rockies have lost 8 of their last 10 games and have been dominated by the Padres on this series. They'll try to avoid a 5-game sweep by sending Kyle Freeland to the mound who already beat the Padres twice earlier this season but has allowed many runs in the process. Joe Musgrove will start for San Diego who has lost his last 2 outings and was pounded by the Rockies the last time. The Padres are by far the better team and just got some backup with Soto and Bell in the lineup. Musgrove should bounce back from his bad start and I think the Padres will sweep the Rockies. 

PICK: Padres -1.5 (-130)

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