San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 10 (4/10): MLB

Credit: photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

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Preview

The San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks will play the 4th game of the series in Phoenix on Sunday. The Padres won the last game 5-2 and they have the lead in the series 2-1.

San Diego Padres

The Padres won their second straight game, beating the Arizona Diamondbacks 5-2 on Saturday night. Eric Hosmer had the go-ahead single for San Diego in the eighth inning after Manny Machado started the rally with a leadoff single and a relatively rare stolen base to get into scoring position.

Joe Musgrove started and threw six good innings for the Padres, giving up two runs on five hits and no walks while striking out eight. The right-hander gave up a run in the first but settled down quickly, pitching four scoreless innings before giving up a solo homer to David Peralta in the sixth.

Probable Pitcher: 

Blake Snell (0-0, 0.0 ERA) will take the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Padres. Snell pitched 1.1 innings against Arizona on Thursday, allowing three runs (two earned) on two hits and four walks. He did not strike out any batters. Snell's 2021 campaign ended early due to a groin injury, and he has been brought along slowly this spring as a result of a delayed ramp-up due to the lockout, per Jeff Sanders of The San Diego-Union Tribune. The southpaw threw 45 pitches in his Cactus League debut and struggled with his control, as only 20 of his offerings were strikes. 

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Dbacks gave the surprise in the first game walking-off the Padres with a 3-run home run but they lost the next 2 games.

Zach Davies made his mound debut with the Diamondbacks, giving up two runs in five innings. The 29-year-old right-hander signed as a free agent in March and is trying to bounce back from a rough 2021 when he had a 5.78 ERA over 32 starts for the Chicago Cubs.

Probable Pitcher:

Caleb Smith (0-0, 0-0 ERA) will be on the mound for the Dbacks in the 4th game of the series. Smith was 4-9 with an ERA of 4.83 and 124 strikeouts in 45 appearances in 2021. He struggled against the Padres last season allowing 8 runs in 4 innings.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Arizona.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games.

Arizona are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games against San Diego.

Prediction

Blake Snell struggled a bit in the spring training and it's hard to tell how he will come out for this game and he should pitch 4 innings max. Caleb Smith has struggled against the Padres so I expect a high scoring game on Sunday. Take the Over.

PICK: Over 9 (-110)

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