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New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Why Betting Over 11.5 Runs Is The Best Bet

The New York Yankees and the Colorado Rockies lock horns on July 15th in an enticing matchup. Despite the Rockies' home advantage at Coors Field, the historical offensive potency of both teams, combined with a potentially high-scoring environment, suggests that this match might comfortably exceed the Over/Under of 11.5 runs set by the sportsbooks. This article delves into the teams' stats, probable pitchers, key hitters, injury reports, and provides a comprehensive prediction. So, why are we favoring an Over 11.5 Runs bet? Let's break it down.

New York Yankees – Review and Analysis

Pitching Analysis

RHP Clarke Schmidt (#36) of the Yankees has a 4.40 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over 88 innings, with 87 strikeouts and 26 walks. Despite a decent strikeout rate, his 13 home runs allowed suggest vulnerability which could be exploited by the Rockies' hitters.

Hitting Analysis

Even with star player Aaron Judge out on the IL, the Yankees still have substantial offensive threats in their lineup. Anthony Rizzo is leading the team with a .257 batting average and has shown his ability to get on base, while their team total of 129 homers demonstrates their power hitting prowess.

Injury Report

The Yankees are dealing with significant injuries, with star Aaron Judge and promising pitcher Luis Gil both on the IL. These absences could potentially impact their offensive and defensive capabilities.

Colorado Rockies – Review and Analysis

Pitching Analysis

RHP Connor Seabold (#43) of the Rockies is experiencing a rough season, with a 6.65 ERA and 1.51 WHIP over 70.1 innings. With 84 hits, 53 strikeouts, 22 walks, and a substantial 16 home runs allowed, Seabold's vulnerability may be exploited by the Yankees' batting lineup.

Hitting Analysis

Despite their overall struggles, the Rockies have notable hitters like Ryan McMahon, who leads the team with 14 HRs, and Elias Diaz, with his strong .277 average. Their collective .255 team average indicates a potential to generate runs.

Injury Report

The Rockies are dealing with a blow to their pitching staff with Kyle Freeland, Ryan Rolison, and Antonio Senzatela on the IL, which could weaken their defense.

Prediction

The Over 11.5 Runs bet is looking promising for several reasons. Firstly, both pitchers, Clarke Schmidt for the Yankees and Connor Seabold for the Rockies, have demonstrated vulnerabilities this season. Their high home runs allowed suggest potential for a high-scoring game. On the offensive front, both teams possess hitters who can capitalize on these pitching vulnerabilities. Despite Aaron Judge's absence, the Yankees have power in their lineup, while the Rockies have hitters like Ryan McMahon who can make a significant impact.

The fact that this game is being played at Coors Field in Denver, which is known for its high altitude and is historically a high-scoring ballpark, also points towards a high run total.

Pick: Over 11.5 runs

Conclusion

Given the pitchers' vulnerabilities, the offensive abilities of both teams, and the historically high-scoring nature of Coors Field, betting on Over 11.5 Runs seems like a reasonable wager for the game between the Yankees and the Rockies. This matchup promises to be an exciting display of powerful hitting and strategic play. Baseball fans, get ready for a potentially high-scoring game!