Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 2 (7/2): MLB
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 2, 2022, 9:35:21 AM
Credit: photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
| Time | 4:05 p.m. EST |
| Pirates money line | +157 |
| Pirates run line | +1.5 (+105) |
| Brewers money line | -192 |
| Brewers run line | -1.5 (-125) |
| Over / under | 9 |
Key stats
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Record | 31-46 | 45-34 |
| Home / home record | 18-21 | 26-19 |
| Last 10 record | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Over / under record | 33-38-6 | 40-34-5 |
| Runs / game | 3.59 | 4.43 |
| Runs allowed / game | 4.97 | 4.17 |
Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates will play the 3rd game of series at the PNC Park on Saturday. The Brewers destroyed the Pirates 19-2 in the second game of the series. Willy Adames hit a grand slam, Rowdy Tellez homered for the fifth time in five games and drove in five runs, and Corbin Burnes pitched into the sixth inning with a no-hitter.
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates get to this game with a 31-46 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.6 runs per game. They're batting for .220 AVG, 274 runs scored in 539 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Kansas City Royals. Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting for .262 AVG and has 21 RBI. Bryan Reynolds leads in home runs with 15 and 31 RBI.
Defensively they are allowing 5 runs per game and ranking #25 in the league. JT Brubaker pitched six innings, allowing four runs and seven hits. He leads the pitching staff with a 4.28 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 2 win with the Pirates.
Probable Pitcher: Bryse Wilson (0-4, 8.29 ERA)
Wilson will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Pirates. Wilson will be recalled to start Saturday against the Brewers. In his last start this season he allowed 7 runs on 10 hits, including 3 home runs across 5 innings pitched against the Cardinals. He has a 0-2 record with an ERA of 4.76 and 6 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Brewers in his career.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers get here with a 45-34 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 4.4 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 337 runs scored in 592 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Willy Adames leads the team with 16 home runs and 45 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .250 AVG.
Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes allowed 1 run across 6 innings pitched recording the win against the Pirates. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.36 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Brewers.
Probable Pitcher: Aaron Ashby (1-5, 4.25 ERA)
Ashby will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Brewers. When first eligible on Saturday, the southpaw is expected to come off the 15-day disabled list. Prior to his absence, the 24-year-old struggled, giving up 14 runs in 15 innings across his previous three appearances before being placed on the injured list. He with an ERA of 0.93 and 10 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Pirates in his career.
BETTING TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
Milwaukee Brewers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games against Milwaukee.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home.
Prediction
The Brewers offense exploded in the second game of the series scoring 19 runs to tie this series. The Pirates had to call Bryse Wilson from AAA after they got rocked yesterday. He pitched well the last time he faced the Brewers allowing only 1 hit and no runs across 4 innings but mostly, he has struggled in the majors. The Brewers will send Aaron Ashby who struggled in his last 3 starts before landing in the injury list but has been really effective against the Pirates in his career. I think both offenses should have success against these pitchers so I expect another high scoring game. Take the over.
PICK: Over 9 (-110)
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