Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Credit: photo by Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -102
Phillies run line +1.5 (-200)
Braves money line -118
Braves run line -1.5 (+170)
Over / under 7.5 (-115)

 

Key stats
  Phillies Braves
Record 81-75 83-71
Road / home record 34-41 37-36
Last 10 record 7-3 7-3
Streak 1L 3W
Over / under record 75-76-5 72-73-9
Runs / game 4.60 4.92
Runs allowed / game 4.63 4.12

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Phillies traveling to Atlanta to take on the Braves. With the Phillies dropping their last game to the Pirates , they enter this game currently 2.5 games behind this Braves team. Dropping the last game in that Pirates series could prove to be a serious mistake depending how this series plays out.  The Braves on the other hand were able to sweep the Padres in their 3 game series over the weekend and gain another game ahead of this Phillies team. This is a big series for both teams as this series has postseason implications.

Pitching matchup

Phillies

Zach Wheeler (14-9, 2.79 ERA) will be on the mound for the Phillies when they travel to Atlanta to take on the Braves.  Wheeler enters this game with a 1.02 WHIP and 2.98 XFIP, both excellent numbers.  This season he carries a nice 29.1% strikeout rate along with a low 5% walk rate. Wheeler has been dominant for the Phillies this season, and has also handled this Braves team pretty easily in his starts against them.  Wheeler limits the hard contact and power and has the stuff to strikeout hitters out on any given night. This Braves team has been on a roll of late, but Wheeler will look to continue to go out and be Elite.

Braves

Charlie Morton (13-6, 3.53 ERA) will be on the mound today for the Braves when they host the Phillies. Morton enters this game with a 1.07 WHIP and 3.55 XFIP. This season he carries a nice 28.2% strikeout rate along wtih an 8.1% walk rate. Morton has been good for the Braves this season. He has also been able to limit oppsoing offenses quality contact and power.  If Morton can keep the walks down and command the strikezone he should have no problem getting through this Phillies lineup.

Prediction

We have 2 pitchers facing off that have pitched very well for their teams and against each other when they have faced off. Wheeler will be facing a strong Braves lineup but has shown us that he can still handle them with ease. Morton gets to face off against a weaker Phillies lineup that he has had success against and that should continue tonight. I'll look to target the total in this one.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-105)

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MLB experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MLB picks, sports picks and sports betting.

Winnings $77,350
last 30 days winnings $42,610
Yesterday winnings $390
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1137 - 976 - 76
Winnings % 51%
Winnings $39,620
last 30 days winnings $31,570
Yesterday winnings ($170)
Top Sport NBA
W-L-D 252 - 184 - 9
Winnings % 56%